14 12 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1280 -21 Strength Momentum |
1221 61.8(8) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Mayfield | 0.000 | 1360 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1309 | 44% | |
08/22/15 | Gadsden | 0.000 | 1030 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1554 | 78% | |
08/27/15 | at Goddard ?? | 0.000 | 830 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-8) | 865 | 88% | |
09/01/15 | at Artesia | 0.000 | 674 | W 6- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1241 | 95% | |
09/03/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (0) | 1284 | 98% | |
09/04/15 | at Centennial | 0.002 | 1055 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1229 | 72% | |
09/11/15 | at Onate | 0.006 | 1183 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1294 | 59% | |
09/12/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.006 | 1308 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1155 | 45% | |
09/15/15 | Roswell | 0.012 | 777 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1117 | 93% | |
09/18/15 | at Eldorado | 0.017 | 1533 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1268 | 22% | |
09/19/15 | at Cibola | 0.022 | 1546 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1325 | 21% | |
09/22/15 | Goddard | 0.034 | 830 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1144 | 91% | |
09/25/15 | at Roswell | 0.051 | 777 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-4) | 1090 | 91% | |
09/26/15 | at Sandia Prep ? | 0.048 | 1273 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-4) | 1087 | 49% | |
09/29/15 | at Clovis | 0.088 | 1305 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1204 | 45% | |
10/03/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.124 | 1050 | W 4- 2 | Expected (0) | 1277 | 72% | |
10/10/15 | Carlsbad | 0.256 | 1258 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1408 | 55% | |
10/17/15 | Alamogordo | 0.479 | 1050 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1254 | 76% | |
10/20/15 | Clovis ! | 0.599 | 1305 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1331 | 50% | |
10/24/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.703 | 1258 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1181 | 50% | |
10/31/15 | at Cleveland !! | 0.870 | 1384 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1394 | 36% | |
11/05/15 | * Albuquerque | 0.636 | 1514 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1156 | 26% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hobbs actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1221, while
Hobbs's "weighted playing strength" is 1272
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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