48 16 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
830 -301 Strength Momentum |
777 56.1(21) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Portales | 0.000 | 760 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1035 | 61% | |
08/22/15 | Valencia | 0.000 | 1086 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 1046 | 25% | |
08/22/15 | at Roswell | 0.000 | 777 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 915 | 53% | |
08/25/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.000 | 700 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1186 | 63% | |
08/27/15 | Hobbs !! | 0.000 | 1280 | W 5- 1 | Better (+8) | 1245 | 12% | |
09/01/15 | at Clovis | 0.001 | 1305 | T 1- 1 | Better (+5) | 1079 | 9% | |
09/10/15 | at Gadsden ! | 0.004 | 1030 | W 3- 0 | Better (+5) | 1092 | 27% | |
09/15/15 | Carlsbad | 0.012 | 1258 | T 2- 2 | Better (+4) | 1032 | 13% | |
09/19/15 | Alamogordo | 0.022 | 1050 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 878 | 29% | |
09/22/15 | at Hobbs | 0.034 | 1280 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+3) | 967 | 9% | |
09/24/15 | Valencia | 0.041 | 1086 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 846 | 25% | |
10/01/15 | at Portales | 0.030 | 760 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1163 | 56% | |
10/06/15 | at Roswell | 0.198 | 777 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 815 | 53% | |
10/10/15 | Artesia | 0.279 | 674 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 840 | 70% | |
10/15/15 | at Lovington | 0.112 | 270 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 918 | 93% | |
10/17/15 | at Roswell | 0.470 | 777 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 865 | 53% | |
10/20/15 | at Artesia | 0.565 | 674 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 814 | 65% | |
10/22/15 | Lovington | 0.086 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1058 | 95% | |
10/31/15 | Grants | 0.812 | 561 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 834 | 80% | |
11/05/15 | * St. Pius ?? | 0.636 | 1289 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 819 | 10% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Goddard actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 777, while
Goddard's "weighted playing strength" is 846
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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