2015 Season results for Roswell (GV,4-5A)

50   17   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
777     -95
Strength     Momentum
902   47.6(37)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  7W   12L   1T 
District  3W   2L   1T 
Expected  17:   2+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 at Las Cruces 0.0001308L 2- 6 Expected (+1) 853 7%
08/21/15 Silver ! 0.000759W 8- 0 Expected (+8)1166 55%
08/22/15 Belen 0.000975W 6- 4 Better (+4) 964 31%
08/22/15 Goddard ? 0.000830L 0- 2 Expected (-2) 691 47%
08/25/15 at Carlsbad 0.0001258L 1- 8 Expected (-2) 672 8%
08/29/15 Portales !! 0.000760W 8- 0 Expected (+8)1167 55%
09/01/15 Carlsbad 0.0011258L 0- 3 Expected (+2) 855 11%
09/08/15 Clovis 0.0031305L 4- 5 Expected (+4) 979 8%
09/15/15 at Hobbs 0.0121280L 1- 3 Expected (+3) 940 7%
09/17/15 at Clovis 0.0131305L 0- 4 Expected (+1) 851 7%
09/22/15 at Alamogordo 0.0281050L 0- 4 Expected (-1) 724 21%
09/25/15 Hobbs 0.0511280L 0- 1 Expected (+4) 967 9%
09/26/15 at Piedra Vista 0.0621001L 1- 2 Expected (+1) 851 24%
09/29/15 at Ruidoso 0.007700W 10- 0 Expected (+9)1270 57%
10/06/15 Goddard 0.198830T 1- 1 Better (0) 792 47%
10/10/15 Lovington 0.038270W 11- 1 Expected (+5)1032 93%
10/15/15 at Artesia ?? 0.417674L 0- 2 Worse (-3) 637 59%
10/17/15 Goddard 0.470830L 1- 2 Expected (-1) 742 47%
10/20/15 at Lovington 0.287270W 5- 0 Expected (0) 788 91%
10/22/15 Artesia 0.587674W 3- 0 Expected (+2) 864 64%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Roswell actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 902, while
Roswell's "weighted playing strength" is 782
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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