50 17 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
777 -95 Strength Momentum |
902 47.6(37) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1308 | L 2- 6 | Expected (+1) | 853 | 7% | |
08/21/15 | Silver ! | 0.000 | 759 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1166 | 55% | |
08/22/15 | Belen | 0.000 | 975 | W 6- 4 | Better (+4) | 964 | 31% | |
08/22/15 | Goddard ? | 0.000 | 830 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 691 | 47% | |
08/25/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.000 | 1258 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-2) | 672 | 8% | |
08/29/15 | Portales !! | 0.000 | 760 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1167 | 55% | |
09/01/15 | Carlsbad | 0.001 | 1258 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+2) | 855 | 11% | |
09/08/15 | Clovis | 0.003 | 1305 | L 4- 5 | Expected (+4) | 979 | 8% | |
09/15/15 | at Hobbs | 0.012 | 1280 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+3) | 940 | 7% | |
09/17/15 | at Clovis | 0.013 | 1305 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 851 | 7% | |
09/22/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.028 | 1050 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 724 | 21% | |
09/25/15 | Hobbs | 0.051 | 1280 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+4) | 967 | 9% | |
09/26/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.062 | 1001 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 851 | 24% | |
09/29/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.007 | 700 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+9) | 1270 | 57% | |
10/06/15 | Goddard | 0.198 | 830 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 792 | 47% | |
10/10/15 | Lovington | 0.038 | 270 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1032 | 93% | |
10/15/15 | at Artesia ?? | 0.417 | 674 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 637 | 59% | |
10/17/15 | Goddard | 0.470 | 830 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 742 | 47% | |
10/20/15 | at Lovington | 0.287 | 270 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 788 | 91% | |
10/22/15 | Artesia | 0.587 | 674 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 864 | 64% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Roswell actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 902, while
Roswell's "weighted playing strength" is 782
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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