37 11 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
975 -51 Strength Momentum |
1055 48.4(35) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1131 | 97% | |
08/22/15 | Valencia | 0.000 | 1086 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 868 | 39% | |
08/22/15 | at Roswell ?? | 0.000 | 777 | L 4- 6 | Worse (-4) | 787 | 69% | |
08/25/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.000 | 1273 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+2) | 1085 | 18% | |
08/27/15 | St. Michael's | 0.000 | 1262 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1057 | 23% | |
08/29/15 | at Socorro | 0.000 | 1158 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 1078 | 28% | |
09/01/15 | at Bernalillo ! | 0.001 | 958 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 1078 | 49% | |
09/05/15 | at Miyamura | 0.001 | 675 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 987 | 79% | |
09/10/15 | Moriarty | 0.003 | 458 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1009 | 93% | |
09/12/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.007 | 931 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1014 | 52% | |
09/15/15 | at Del Norte | 0.010 | 895 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1047 | 57% | |
09/17/15 | Socorro | 0.016 | 1158 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1005 | 32% | |
09/22/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.036 | 923 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 961 | 53% | |
09/26/15 | at Valencia | 0.055 | 1086 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 891 | 34% | |
09/29/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.088 | 1093 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 946 | 34% | |
10/03/15 | Centennial ? | 0.124 | 1055 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 903 | 43% | |
10/06/15 | Chaparral !! | 0.175 | 980 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1116 | 52% | |
10/10/15 | Santa Teresa | 923 | F 1--1 | Forfeit +1 | --- | 59% | ||
10/13/15 | Valencia | 0.373 | 1086 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1069 | 39% | |
10/16/15 | Los Lunas | 0.466 | 1093 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1072 | 39% | |
10/20/15 | at Centennial | 1055 | F -1- 1 | Forfeit -1 | --- | 38% | ||
10/24/15 | at Chaparral | 0.733 | 980 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 939 | 47% | |
10/31/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.710 | 1278 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 937 | 18% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Belen actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1055, while
Belen's "weighted playing strength" is 988
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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