2015 Season results for Belen (GV,3-5A)

37   11   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
975     -51
Strength     Momentum
1055   48.4(35)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  10W   11L   2T 
District  4W   5L   1T 
Expected  15:   4+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 Lovington 0.000270W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1131 97%
08/22/15 Valencia 0.0001086L 0- 3 Expected (-2) 868 39%
08/22/15 at Roswell ?? 0.000777L 4- 6 Worse (-4) 787 69%
08/25/15 at Sandia Prep 0.0001273L 3- 4 Expected (+2)1085 18%
08/27/15 St. Michael's 0.0001262L 0- 1 Expected (+2)1057 23%
08/29/15 at Socorro 0.0001158T 1- 1 Better (+2)1078 28%
09/01/15 at Bernalillo ! 0.001958W 2- 0 Better (+2)1078 49%
09/05/15 at Miyamura 0.001675W 3- 0 Expected (0) 987 79%
09/10/15 Moriarty 0.003458W 6- 0 Expected (+1)1009 93%
09/12/15 at Rio Grande 0.007931W 2- 1 Expected (+1)1014 52%
09/15/15 at Del Norte 0.010895W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1047 57%
09/17/15 Socorro 0.0161158L 2- 3 Expected (+1)1005 32%
09/22/15 at Santa Teresa 0.036923T 2- 2 Worse (0) 961 53%
09/26/15 at Valencia 0.0551086L 1- 4 Expected (-2) 891 34%
09/29/15 at Los Lunas 0.0881093L 0- 2 Expected (-1) 946 34%
10/03/15 Centennial ? 0.1241055L 1- 3 Expected (-1) 903 43%
10/06/15 Chaparral !! 0.175980W 3- 0 Expected (+3)1116 52%
10/10/15 Santa Teresa  923 F 1--1Forfeit +1--- 59%
10/13/15 Valencia 0.3731086W 2- 1 Better (+2)1069 39%
10/16/15 Los Lunas 0.4661093W 1- 0 Better (+2)1072 39%
10/20/15 at Centennial  1055 F -1- 1Forfeit -1--- 38%
10/24/15 at Chaparral 0.733980L 0- 1 Expected (-1) 939 47%
10/31/15 at Los Alamos 0.7101278L 0- 4 Expected (-1) 937 18%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Belen actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1055, while
Belen's "weighted playing strength" is 988
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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