2015 Season results for Valencia (GV,3-5A)

28   6   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
1086     -23
Strength     Momentum
975   53.8(26)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  14W   6L   2T 
District  5W   3L   2T 
Expected  16:   1+   5- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 at Artesia 0.000674W 3- 2 Expected (-3) 942 86%
08/22/15 at Belen 0.000975W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1192 61%
08/22/15 at Goddard ?? 0.000830L 1- 3 Worse (-4) 869 75%
08/25/15 Socorro 0.0001158L 2- 3 Expected (-1)1060 44%
09/03/15 Miyamura 0.001675W 3- 1 Expected (-2) 969 89%
09/08/15 at Del Norte 0.003895W 2- 0 Expected (0)1102 69%
09/12/15 Highland 0.007907W 3- 1 Expected (0)1085 71%
09/15/15 Atrisco Heritage 0.008964W 6- 1 Expected (+4)1266 66%
09/16/15 at Grants 0.009561W 4- 0 Expected (-1)1036 92%
09/22/15 Chaparral !! 0.005980W 10- 0 Expected (+9)1541 65%
09/24/15 at Goddard 0.041830W 3- 1 Expected (0)1069 75%
09/26/15 Belen 0.055975W 4- 1 Expected (+2)1169 66%
09/29/15 at Centennial 0.0881055L 0- 2 Worse (-2) 982 51%
10/03/15 Santa Teresa 0.112923W 4- 0 Expected (+2)1194 71%
10/07/15 at Los Lunas 0.2191093T 1- 1 Better (0)1101 46%
10/10/15 at Chaparral ! 0.214980W 3- 0 Expected (+2)1195 60%
10/13/15 at Belen ? 0.373975L 1- 2 Worse (-2) 992 61%
10/17/15 Centennial 0.4981055W 3- 2 Expected (0)1108 57%
10/20/15 at Santa Teresa 0.595923T 0- 0 Worse (-1)1016 66%
10/23/15 Los Lunas 0.6601093L 2- 3 Worse (-1)1028 52%
10/30/15 at Piedra Vista 0.8501001W 1- 0 Expected (0)1105 58%
11/05/15 * Albuquerque Academy 0.9341268L 1- 2 Expected (+1)1115 30%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valencia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 975, while
Valencia's "weighted playing strength" is 1081
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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