28 6 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1086 -23 Strength Momentum |
975 53.8(26) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Artesia | 0.000 | 674 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-3) | 942 | 86% | |
08/22/15 | at Belen | 0.000 | 975 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1192 | 61% | |
08/22/15 | at Goddard ?? | 0.000 | 830 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 869 | 75% | |
08/25/15 | Socorro | 0.000 | 1158 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1060 | 44% | |
09/03/15 | Miyamura | 0.001 | 675 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 969 | 89% | |
09/08/15 | at Del Norte | 0.003 | 895 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1102 | 69% | |
09/12/15 | Highland | 0.007 | 907 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1085 | 71% | |
09/15/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.008 | 964 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1266 | 66% | |
09/16/15 | at Grants | 0.009 | 561 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1036 | 92% | |
09/22/15 | Chaparral !! | 0.005 | 980 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+9) | 1541 | 65% | |
09/24/15 | at Goddard | 0.041 | 830 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1069 | 75% | |
09/26/15 | Belen | 0.055 | 975 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1169 | 66% | |
09/29/15 | at Centennial | 0.088 | 1055 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 982 | 51% | |
10/03/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.112 | 923 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1194 | 71% | |
10/07/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.219 | 1093 | T 1- 1 | Better (0) | 1101 | 46% | |
10/10/15 | at Chaparral ! | 0.214 | 980 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1195 | 60% | |
10/13/15 | at Belen ? | 0.373 | 975 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 992 | 61% | |
10/17/15 | Centennial | 0.498 | 1055 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1108 | 57% | |
10/20/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.595 | 923 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1016 | 66% | |
10/23/15 | Los Lunas | 0.660 | 1093 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1028 | 52% | |
10/30/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.850 | 1001 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1105 | 58% | |
11/05/15 | * Albuquerque Academy | 0.934 | 1268 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1115 | 30% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valencia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 975, while
Valencia's "weighted playing strength" is 1081
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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