66 21 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
561 -459 Strength Momentum |
830 50.9(31) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Socorro | 0.000 | 1158 | L 1- 5 | Expected (+2) | 670 | 4% | |
08/22/15 | at Hatch | 0.000 | 665 | W 10- 0 | Better (+11) | 1145 | 37% | |
08/22/15 | at Monte del Sol | 752 | F 1--1 | Forfeit -2 | --- | 27% | ||
09/01/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.001 | 739 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 689 | 33% | |
09/03/15 | at Gallup | 0.001 | 581 | W 5- 0 | Better (+5) | 835 | 45% | |
09/05/15 | at Piedra Vista ?? | 0.000 | 1001 | L 1-11 | Expected (-5) | 273 | 10% | |
09/09/15 | Miyamura | 0.004 | 675 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 656 | 40% | |
09/12/15 | at Bernalillo !! | 0.007 | 958 | W 2- 1 | Better (+5) | 821 | 12% | |
09/16/15 | Valencia | 0.009 | 1086 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 611 | 8% | |
09/19/15 | Pojoaque | 0.009 | 576 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+7) | 914 | 51% | |
09/22/15 | at Socorro | 0.018 | 1158 | L 1- 7 | Expected (0) | 567 | 4% | |
09/24/15 | Navajo Prep ! | 0.046 | 669 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 704 | 41% | |
10/06/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.026 | 1268 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 406 | 2% | |
10/08/15 | Moriarty | 0.242 | 458 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 548 | 64% | |
10/13/15 | St. Pius | 0.027 | 1289 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 394 | 2% | |
10/15/15 | Albuquerque Academy ? | 0.031 | 1268 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 383 | 3% | |
10/22/15 | at St. Pius | 0.086 | 1289 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 417 | 2% | |
10/23/15 | at Moriarty | 0.660 | 458 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 571 | 59% | |
10/31/15 | at Goddard | 0.812 | 830 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 557 | 20% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Grants actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 830, while
Grants's "weighted playing strength" is 554
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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