Strength
Strength
|
58 17 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
665 153 Strength Momentum |
759 40.3(56) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.000 | 752 | T 3- 3 | Better (+1) | 697 | 43% | |
| 08/22/15 | Socorro | 0.000 | 1158 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 380 | 10% | |
| 08/22/15 | Grants ?? | 0.000 | 561 | L 0-10 | Worse (-11) | 82 | 63% | |
| 08/27/15 | at ATC | 0.000 | 442 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 615 | 71% | |
| 09/03/15 | Chaparral ! | 0.001 | 980 | W 4- 3 | Better (+4) | 861 | 21% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Chaparral | 0.005 | 980 | L 4- 6 | Expected (+1) | 734 | 17% | |
| 09/15/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.010 | 752 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 597 | 43% | |
| 09/17/15 | East Mountain | 0.010 | 952 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 596 | 23% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.020 | 612 | W 6- 4 | Expected (+2) | 750 | 53% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Ruidoso ? | 0.032 | 700 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 544 | 43% | |
| 09/24/15 | Deming | 0.045 | 1136 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 839 | 11% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Capital !! | 0.047 | 1074 | W 3- 1 | Better (+6) | 981 | 12% | |
| 09/29/15 | at East Mountain | 0.059 | 952 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 568 | 20% | |
| 10/01/15 | Desert Academy | 0.089 | 612 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 828 | 59% | |
| 10/08/15 | Ruidoso | 0.228 | 700 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 621 | 48% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Socorro | 0.048 | 1158 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 404 | 8% | |
| 10/15/15 | Silver | 0.409 | 759 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 650 | 42% | |
| 10/22/15 | Socorro | 0.077 | 1158 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 436 | 10% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Silver | 0.700 | 759 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 673 | 37% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hatch actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 759, while
Hatch's "weighted playing strength" is 658
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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