23 5 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1158 -38 Strength Momentum |
731 58.4(16) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | at East Mountain !! | 0.000 | 952 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1531 | 70% | |
08/21/15 | Grants ?? | 0.000 | 561 | W 5- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1049 | 96% | |
08/22/15 | Monte del Sol ! | 0.000 | 752 | W 10- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1408 | 88% | |
08/22/15 | at Hatch | 0.000 | 665 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1443 | 90% | |
08/24/15 | Pojoaque | 0.000 | 576 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1376 | 95% | |
08/25/15 | at Valencia | 0.000 | 1086 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1184 | 56% | |
08/29/15 | Belen ? | 0.000 | 975 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1055 | 72% | |
09/02/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.001 | 722 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1233 | 90% | |
09/12/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.007 | 1050 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1166 | 60% | |
09/14/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.001 | 576 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1399 | 94% | |
09/17/15 | at Belen | 0.016 | 975 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1128 | 68% | |
09/19/15 | at Robertson | 0.006 | 615 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1255 | 93% | |
09/22/15 | Grants | 0.018 | 561 | W 7- 1 | Expected (0) | 1152 | 96% | |
09/28/15 | Ruidoso | 0.031 | 700 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1274 | 91% | |
10/01/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.042 | 739 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1265 | 87% | |
10/06/15 | Silver | 0.175 | 759 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1097 | 87% | |
10/08/15 | at Silver | 0.147 | 759 | W 5- 1 | Expected (0) | 1171 | 85% | |
10/13/15 | Hatch | 0.048 | 665 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1420 | 92% | |
10/15/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.050 | 700 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1405 | 88% | |
10/22/15 | at Hatch | 0.077 | 665 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1388 | 90% | |
11/05/15 | * Kirtland Central | 0.934 | 1050 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1166 | 63% | |
11/06/15 | * St. Michael's | 0.995 | 1262 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1172 | 38% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Socorro actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 731, while
Socorro's "weighted playing strength" is 1183
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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