57 16 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
700 85 Strength Momentum |
760 42.9(46) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Goddard | 0.000 | 830 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-7) | 343 | 37% | |
08/27/15 | at Artesia | 0.000 | 674 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 599 | 50% | |
09/05/15 | at Lovington ?? | 0.001 | 270 | L 1- 7 | Worse (-10) | 193 | 86% | |
09/15/15 | Lovington | 0.012 | 270 | W 5- 3 | Expected (-2) | 574 | 89% | |
09/17/15 | Portales ! | 0.017 | 760 | W 4- 3 | Better (+1) | 768 | 46% | |
09/19/15 | at Silver | 0.020 | 759 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 590 | 41% | |
09/22/15 | Hatch | 0.032 | 665 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 821 | 57% | |
09/24/15 | at East Mountain | 0.037 | 952 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 637 | 22% | |
09/26/15 | Silver | 0.062 | 759 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 718 | 46% | |
09/28/15 | at Socorro | 0.031 | 1158 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 584 | 9% | |
09/29/15 | Roswell ? | 0.007 | 777 | L 0-10 | Expected (-9) | 207 | 43% | |
10/03/15 | at Portales !! | 0.137 | 760 | W 4- 3 | Better (+2) | 792 | 41% | |
10/08/15 | at Hatch | 0.228 | 665 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 744 | 52% | |
10/15/15 | Socorro | 0.050 | 1158 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-5) | 453 | 12% | |
10/19/15 | at East Mountain | 0.497 | 952 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 687 | 22% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Ruidoso actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 760, while
Ruidoso's "weighted playing strength" is 697
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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