Strength
Strength
|
69 23 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
270 -34 Strength Momentum |
803 36.5(64) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Clovis | 0.000 | 1305 | L 0-10 | Expected (0) | 279 | 2% | |
| 08/21/15 | at Belen | 0.000 | 975 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 114 | 3% | |
| 08/22/15 | Silver | 0.000 | 759 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 251 | 11% | |
| 08/22/15 | Portales | 0.000 | 760 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+2) | 353 | 10% | |
| 08/29/15 | Carlsbad | 0.000 | 1258 | L 0-10 | Expected (-1) | 233 | 2% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Hobbs | 0.000 | 1280 | L 0-10 | Expected (0) | 267 | 2% | |
| 09/05/15 | Ruidoso ! | 0.001 | 700 | W 7- 1 | Better (+10) | 778 | 14% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Portales | 0.003 | 760 | L 2- 5 | Expected (+2) | 376 | 8% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.012 | 700 | L 3- 5 | Expected (+2) | 397 | 11% | |
| 09/19/15 | Clovis | 0.002 | 1305 | L 0-10 | Expected (0) | 256 | 2% | |
| 09/21/15 | Portales !! | 0.031 | 760 | W 2- 1 | Better (+6) | 554 | 10% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Capital | 0.077 | 1074 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+6) | 584 | 2% | |
| 10/02/15 | at Mayfield | 0.100 | 1360 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+7) | 626 | 2% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.019 | 1308 | L 0-10 | Expected (0) | 281 | 2% | |
| 10/06/15 | Artesia | 0.170 | 674 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+2) | 361 | 15% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Roswell ? | 0.038 | 777 | L 1-11 | Expected (-5) | 15 | 7% | |
| 10/15/15 | Goddard | 0.112 | 830 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 182 | 7% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Artesia ?? | 0.320 | 674 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-1) | 232 | 12% | |
| 10/20/15 | Roswell | 0.287 | 777 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 260 | 9% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Goddard | 0.086 | 830 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 42 | 5% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Lovington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 803, while
Lovington's "weighted playing strength" is 296
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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