| Overall | 13W 5L 3T |
| District | 4W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 0+ 5- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
11 11 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1305 241 Strength Momentum |
1050 58.8(14) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (0) | 1296 | 98% |  |
| 08/28/15 | Santa Fe | 0.000 | 984 | W 8- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1437 | 83% | |
| 08/28/15 | Farmington ?? | 0.000 | 1220 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-6) | 998 | 63% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Bosque | 0.000 | 1185 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1257 | 62% | |
| 09/01/15 | Goddard | 0.001 | 830 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-5) | 1056 | 91% | |
| 09/05/15 | Portales | 0.000 | 760 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1541 | 94% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Roswell | 0.003 | 777 | W 5- 4 | Expected (-4) | 1102 | 92% | |
| 09/11/15 | at West Mesa | 0.004 | 889 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1259 | 86% | |
| 09/12/15 | at La Cueva | 0.001 | 1493 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-7) | 946 | 28% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Artesia | 0.006 | 674 | W 6- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1253 | 95% | |
| 09/17/15 | Roswell | 0.013 | 777 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1230 | 93% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Lovington | 0.002 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (0) | 1319 | 98% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Las Cruces ? | 0.034 | 1308 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1218 | 47% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.062 | 1258 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1293 | 53% | |
| 09/29/15 | Hobbs !! | 0.088 | 1280 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1381 | 55% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Portales | 0.014 | 760 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1564 | 93% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.214 | 1050 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1340 | 74% | |
| 10/17/15 | Carlsbad | 0.498 | 1258 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1320 | 58% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Hobbs | 0.599 | 1280 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1254 | 50% | |
| 10/24/15 | Alamogordo ! | 0.564 | 1050 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1367 | 78% | |
| 10/30/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.866 | 1463 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1296 | 30% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Clovis actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1050, while
Clovis's "weighted playing strength" is 1310
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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