| Overall | 12W 7L 2T |
| District | 2W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 15: 3+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
19 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1258 -116 Strength Momentum |
1183 60.0(11) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | Mayfield !! | 0.000 | 1360 | W 5- 0 | Better (+6) | 1550 | 41% |  |
| 08/25/15 | Roswell | 0.000 | 777 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1362 | 92% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Lovington | 0.000 | 270 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1296 | 98% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Roswell | 0.001 | 777 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1179 | 89% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Las Cruces ! | 0.002 | 1308 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1345 | 42% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Onate | 0.002 | 1183 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1332 | 56% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Artesia | 0.003 | 674 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-4) | 1078 | 94% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.005 | 1268 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1225 | 46% | |
| 09/11/15 | Centennial | 0.006 | 1055 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1195 | 74% | |
| 09/12/15 | Los Alamos | 0.007 | 1278 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1206 | 51% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Goddard | 0.012 | 830 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1055 | 87% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Cibola | 0.013 | 1546 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1161 | 20% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Manzano | 0.020 | 1120 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1301 | 63% | |
| 09/22/15 | Artesia | 0.023 | 674 | W 6- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1207 | 95% | |
| 09/26/15 | Clovis | 0.062 | 1305 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 1270 | 47% | |
| 09/29/15 | Alamogordo ?? | 0.086 | 1050 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1092 | 74% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Hobbs ? | 0.256 | 1280 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1130 | 45% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Clovis | 0.498 | 1305 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1243 | 42% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.565 | 1050 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1216 | 70% | |
| 10/24/15 | Hobbs | 0.703 | 1280 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1358 | 50% | |
| 10/31/15 | at Cibola | 0.710 | 1546 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1212 | 20% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Carlsbad actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1183, while
Carlsbad's "weighted playing strength" is 1243
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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