58 18 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
674 -301 Strength Momentum |
830 47.0(40) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Valencia | 0.000 | 1086 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+3) | 818 | 14% | |
08/22/15 | Portales | 0.000 | 760 | W 6- 1 | Better (+6) | 958 | 43% | |
08/22/15 | Silver | 0.000 | 759 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 705 | 43% | |
08/27/15 | Ruidoso | 0.000 | 700 | W 3- 1 | Better (+2) | 776 | 50% | |
09/01/15 | Hobbs | 0.000 | 1280 | L 1- 6 | Expected (+1) | 713 | 5% | |
09/04/15 | at Capital !! | 0.001 | 1074 | W 5- 3 | Better (+6) | 986 | 12% | |
09/05/15 | at Santa Fe ! | 0.002 | 984 | W 3- 1 | Better (+5) | 941 | 18% | |
09/08/15 | Carlsbad | 0.003 | 1258 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+4) | 854 | 6% | |
09/10/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.003 | 923 | W 4- 0 | Better (+7) | 1012 | 22% | |
09/15/15 | Clovis | 0.006 | 1305 | L 1- 6 | Expected (+1) | 725 | 5% | |
09/17/15 | Alamogordo | 0.014 | 1050 | L 2- 4 | Expected (+2) | 750 | 16% | |
09/22/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.023 | 1258 | L 1- 6 | Expected (+1) | 725 | 5% | |
09/26/15 | at Portales | 0.046 | 760 | W 4- 1 | Better (+4) | 879 | 38% | |
10/06/15 | at Lovington | 0.170 | 270 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 584 | 85% | |
10/10/15 | at Goddard ? | 0.279 | 830 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 663 | 30% | |
10/15/15 | Roswell | 0.417 | 777 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 814 | 41% | |
10/17/15 | Lovington | 0.320 | 270 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+1) | 713 | 88% | |
10/20/15 | Goddard | 0.565 | 830 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 690 | 35% | |
10/22/15 | at Roswell ?? | 0.587 | 777 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 587 | 36% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Artesia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 830, while
Artesia's "weighted playing strength" is 684
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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