2015 Season results for Capital (GV,2-5A)

29   8   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
1074     135
Strength     Momentum
762   42.2(47)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  10W   8L   1T 
District  3W   3L   0T 
Expected  13:   0+   6- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at St. Michael's 0.0001262L 0-10 Expected (-8) 660 28%
08/26/15 Santa Fe Prep 0.000722W 6- 0 Expected (+2)1190 85%
08/29/15 Moriarty 0.000458W 3- 1 Expected (-4) 854 96%
09/01/15 at Robertson 0.001615W 2- 1 Expected (-3) 906 89%
09/02/15 at Santa Fe Indian 0.001762T 1- 1 Worse (-3) 929 79%
09/04/15 Artesia ? 0.001674L 3- 5 Worse (-6) 762 88%
09/08/15 Los Lunas 0.0031093L 0- 3 Worse (-3) 922 51%
09/14/15 Monte del Sol 0.010752W 2- 1 Expected (-2) 952 83%
09/19/15 Santa Fe 0.020984L 1- 3 Worse (-3) 917 63%
09/22/15 Los Alamos 0.0171278L 0- 5 Expected (-3) 912 30%
09/23/15 Desert Academy 0.032612W 4- 0 Expected (-1)1033 91%
09/25/15 Hatch ?? 0.047665L 1- 3 Worse (-6) 758 88%
09/26/15 at Bernalillo ! 0.059958W 1- 0 Expected (0)1078 61%
09/28/15 Lovington 0.077270W 2- 0 Expected (-6) 761 98%
09/29/15 Del Norte 0.086895L 2- 3 Worse (-3) 923 72%
10/01/15 Pojoaque 0.074576W 5- 0 Expected (0)1066 92%
10/10/15 at Los Alamos 0.1491278L 0- 6 Expected (-4) 884 26%
10/13/15 Bernalillo !! 0.358958W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1104 66%
10/17/15 at Del Norte 0.425895W 3- 1 Expected (0)1096 68%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Capital actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 762, while
Capital's "weighted playing strength" is 1023
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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