2015 Season results for Moriarty (GV,5-5A)

67   22   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
458     -309
Strength     Momentum
975   43.1(45)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  6W   11L   0T 
District  0W   6L   0T 
Expected  12:   5+   0- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 ATC 0.000442W 4- 0 Expected (+4) 639 55%
08/27/15 at Los Alamos ? 0.0001278L 0-10 Expected (-2) 360 2%
08/29/15 at Capital 0.0001074L 1- 3 Expected (+4) 677 4%
09/01/15 at Portales 0.001760W 3- 2 Better (+4) 671 19%
09/03/15 at Santa Fe !! 0.001984W 2- 1 Better (+6) 783 6%
09/08/15 Rio Grande 0.003931W 3- 1 Better (+6) 783 11%
09/10/15 at Belen 0.003975L 0- 6 Expected (-1) 424 7%
09/15/15 at Manzano 0.0111120L 0- 3 Expected (+4) 650 3%
09/17/15 Atrisco Heritage 0.016964L 1- 2 Expected (+4) 649 10%
09/19/15 at Gallup 0.022581W 2- 1 Better (+2) 581 34%
10/01/15 Bernalillo ! 0.116958W 2- 1 Better (+6) 746 9%
10/06/15 St. Pius 0.0141289L 0-10 Expected (-2) 342 2%
10/08/15 at Grants 0.242561L 2- 3 Expected (0) 471 36%
10/13/15 Albuquerque Academy ?? 0.0271268L 0-10 Expected (-2) 332 2%
10/15/15 at St. Pius 0.0561289L 0-10 Expected (-2) 365 2%
10/22/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.1881268L 0- 8 Expected (0) 465 2%
10/23/15 Grants 0.660561L 2- 3 Expected (0) 448 41%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Moriarty actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 975, while
Moriarty's "weighted playing strength" is 480
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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