67 22 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
458 -309 Strength Momentum |
975 43.1(45) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | ATC | 0.000 | 442 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 639 | 55% | |
08/27/15 | at Los Alamos ? | 0.000 | 1278 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 360 | 2% | |
08/29/15 | at Capital | 0.000 | 1074 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+4) | 677 | 4% | |
09/01/15 | at Portales | 0.001 | 760 | W 3- 2 | Better (+4) | 671 | 19% | |
09/03/15 | at Santa Fe !! | 0.001 | 984 | W 2- 1 | Better (+6) | 783 | 6% | |
09/08/15 | Rio Grande | 0.003 | 931 | W 3- 1 | Better (+6) | 783 | 11% | |
09/10/15 | at Belen | 0.003 | 975 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 424 | 7% | |
09/15/15 | at Manzano | 0.011 | 1120 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+4) | 650 | 3% | |
09/17/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.016 | 964 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+4) | 649 | 10% | |
09/19/15 | at Gallup | 0.022 | 581 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 581 | 34% | |
10/01/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.116 | 958 | W 2- 1 | Better (+6) | 746 | 9% | |
10/06/15 | St. Pius | 0.014 | 1289 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 342 | 2% | |
10/08/15 | at Grants | 0.242 | 561 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 471 | 36% | |
10/13/15 | Albuquerque Academy ?? | 0.027 | 1268 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 332 | 2% | |
10/15/15 | at St. Pius | 0.056 | 1289 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 365 | 2% | |
10/22/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.188 | 1268 | L 0- 8 | Expected (0) | 465 | 2% | |
10/23/15 | Grants | 0.660 | 561 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 448 | 41% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Moriarty actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 975, while
Moriarty's "weighted playing strength" is 480
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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