Strength
Strength
|
68 22 6 Rank in State, Class, District |
442 -71 Strength Momentum |
722 31.3(69) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | at East Mountain | 0.000 | 952 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 405 | 7% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Moriarty ?? | 0.000 | 458 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 260 | 45% | |
| 08/27/15 | Hatch | 0.000 | 665 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 492 | 29% | |
| 09/01/15 | Pojoaque | 0.001 | 576 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 447 | 38% | |
| 09/05/15 | at West Las Vegas | L 3- 4 | --- | --- | --- | | ||
| 09/08/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.003 | 762 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 563 | 17% | |
| 09/11/15 | Robertson | 0.005 | 615 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 417 | 33% | |
| 09/12/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.005 | 739 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 428 | 22% | |
| 09/12/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.007 | 669 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 544 | 28% | |
| 09/21/15 | at Desert Academy !! | 0.026 | 612 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 639 | 29% | |
| 10/05/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.023 | 1262 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 344 | 2% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.153 | 722 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 392 | 20% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.233 | 752 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 508 | 17% | |
| 10/13/15 | St. Michael's | 0.027 | 1262 | L 0-10 | Expected (-2) | 320 | 2% | |
| 10/15/15 | Desert Academy | 0.409 | 612 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 465 | 34% | |
| 10/19/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.344 | 752 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 384 | 21% | |
| 10/20/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.511 | 762 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 490 | 20% | |
| 10/22/15 | Santa Fe Prep ? | 0.405 | 722 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 369 | 23% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals ATC actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 722, while
ATC's "weighted playing strength" is 439
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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