2015 Season results for Portales (GV,4-4A)

53   10   2
Rank in
State, Class, District
760     33
Strength     Momentum
700   36.6(63)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  4W   13L   1T 
District  0W   4L   0T 
Expected  11:   0+   7- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 at Goddard 0.000830L 0- 5 Expected (-4) 554 39%
08/22/15 at Artesia ? 0.000674L 1- 6 Worse (-6) 476 57%
08/22/15 at Lovington 0.000270W 4- 1 Expected (-2) 677 90%
08/29/15 at Roswell 0.000777L 0- 8 Expected (-8) 370 45%
09/01/15 Moriarty 0.001458L 2- 3 Worse (-4) 547 81%
09/05/15 at Clovis 0.0001305L 0-10 Expected (-4) 524 6%
09/08/15 Lovington 0.003270W 5- 2 Expected (-2) 654 92%
09/10/15 Desert Academy !! 0.004612W 6- 2 Expected (+2) 875 69%
09/12/15 Pojoaque ! 0.007576W 3- 1 Expected (0) 757 72%
09/17/15 at Ruidoso 0.017700L 3- 4 Worse (-1) 692 54%
09/19/15 at Santa Fe Prep 0.023722T 2- 2 Worse (0) 752 51%
09/21/15 at Lovington ?? 0.031270L 1- 2 Worse (-6) 477 90%
09/26/15 Artesia 0.046674L 1- 4 Worse (-4) 555 62%
10/01/15 Goddard 0.030830L 0- 7 Expected (-7) 427 44%
10/03/15 Ruidoso 0.137700L 3- 4 Worse (-2) 668 59%
10/06/15 Clovis 0.0141305L 0-10 Expected (-5) 501 7%
10/09/15 East Mountain 0.227952L 1- 3 Expected (0) 744 31%
10/24/15 at East Mountain 0.703952L 0- 2 Expected (0) 768 27%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Portales actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 700, while
Portales's "weighted playing strength" is 725
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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