40 13 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
958 137 Strength Momentum |
895 36.9(61) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/28/15 | at Taos | 0.000 | 816 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 798 | 64% | |
08/29/15 | East Mountain | 0.000 | 952 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 893 | 54% | |
08/29/15 | Silver | 0.000 | 759 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 846 | 73% | |
09/01/15 | Belen | 0.001 | 975 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 854 | 51% | |
09/03/15 | Aztec | 0.000 | 1155 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 635 | 30% | |
09/12/15 | Grants ? | 0.007 | 561 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-5) | 698 | 88% | |
09/16/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.012 | 722 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-5) | 728 | 77% | |
09/17/15 | at Gallup | 0.017 | 581 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-4) | 781 | 84% | |
09/23/15 | Del Norte | 0.039 | 895 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 865 | 60% | |
09/24/15 | Pojoaque !! | 0.031 | 576 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1008 | 87% | |
09/26/15 | Capital | 0.059 | 1074 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 954 | 39% | |
09/28/15 | at Taos | 0.052 | 816 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-6) | 646 | 64% | |
10/01/15 | at Moriarty ?? | 0.116 | 458 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-6) | 669 | 91% | |
10/03/15 | Los Alamos | 0.107 | 1278 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 956 | 20% | |
10/06/15 | at East Mountain | 0.191 | 952 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 867 | 48% | |
10/07/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.208 | 762 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 921 | 69% | |
10/10/15 | at Del Norte | 0.291 | 895 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 888 | 55% | |
10/13/15 | at Capital | 0.358 | 1074 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 927 | 34% | |
10/17/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.498 | 984 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 932 | 44% | |
10/21/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.608 | 1278 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1029 | 16% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bernalillo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 895, while
Bernalillo's "weighted playing strength" is 925
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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