2015 Season results for Bernalillo (GV,2-5A)

40   13   3
Rank in
State, Class, District
958     137
Strength     Momentum
895   36.9(61)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  2W   16L   2T 
District  0W   6L   0T 
Expected  9:   0+   11- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/28/15 at Taos 0.000816L 0- 2 Worse (-3) 798 64%
08/29/15 East Mountain 0.000952L 0- 1 Worse (-1) 893 54%
08/29/15 Silver 0.000759T 1- 1 Worse (-2) 846 73%
09/01/15 Belen 0.001975L 0- 2 Worse (-2) 854 51%
09/03/15 Aztec 0.0001155L 0- 8 Expected (-6) 635 30%
09/12/15 Grants ? 0.007561L 1- 2 Worse (-5) 698 88%
09/16/15 Santa Fe Prep 0.012722L 2- 4 Worse (-5) 728 77%
09/17/15 at Gallup 0.017581T 0- 0 Worse (-4) 781 84%
09/23/15 Del Norte 0.039895L 0- 1 Worse (-2) 865 60%
09/24/15 Pojoaque !! 0.031576W 5- 0 Expected (+1)1008 87%
09/26/15 Capital 0.0591074L 0- 1 Expected (0) 954 39%
09/28/15 at Taos 0.052816L 0- 5 Worse (-6) 646 64%
10/01/15 at Moriarty ?? 0.116458L 1- 2 Worse (-6) 669 91%
10/03/15 Los Alamos 0.1071278L 0- 3 Expected (0) 956 20%
10/06/15 at East Mountain 0.191952L 0- 2 Expected (-2) 867 48%
10/07/15 at Santa Fe Indian 0.208762W 2- 1 Expected (-1) 921 69%
10/10/15 at Del Norte 0.291895L 0- 1 Worse (-1) 888 55%
10/13/15 at Capital 0.3581074L 0- 2 Expected (-1) 927 34%
10/17/15 at Santa Fe 0.498984L 0- 1 Expected (-1) 932 44%
10/21/15 at Los Alamos 0.6081278L 0- 2 Expected (+1)1029 16%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bernalillo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 895, while
Bernalillo's "weighted playing strength" is 925
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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