51 10 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
759 102 Strength Momentum |
952 41.5(50) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/20/15 | Deming | 0.000 | 1136 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 885 | 17% | |
08/21/15 | at Roswell ?? | 0.000 | 777 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-8) | 369 | 45% | |
08/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.000 | 674 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 728 | 57% | |
08/22/15 | at Lovington | 0.000 | 270 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 779 | 89% | |
08/25/15 | at Chaparral !! | 0.000 | 980 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 981 | 25% | |
08/28/15 | East Mountain | 0.000 | 952 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 794 | 32% | |
08/28/15 | at Taos ? | 0.000 | 816 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-4) | 547 | 41% | |
08/29/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.000 | 958 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 870 | 27% | |
09/09/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.004 | 923 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 779 | 34% | |
09/10/15 | at Deming | 0.005 | 1136 | T 1- 1 | Better (+4) | 959 | 14% | |
09/12/15 | at Gadsden | 0.005 | 1030 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 654 | 21% | |
09/17/15 | Chaparral ! | 0.017 | 980 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 908 | 29% | |
09/19/15 | Ruidoso | 0.020 | 700 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 868 | 59% | |
09/22/15 | at Onate | 0.036 | 1183 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 933 | 11% | |
09/26/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.062 | 700 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 741 | 54% | |
10/06/15 | at Socorro | 0.175 | 1158 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 820 | 13% | |
10/08/15 | Socorro | 0.147 | 1158 | L 1- 5 | Expected (0) | 746 | 15% | |
10/15/15 | at Hatch | 0.409 | 665 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 773 | 58% | |
10/23/15 | Hatch | 0.700 | 665 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 750 | 63% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Silver actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 952, while
Silver's "weighted playing strength" is 771
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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