Strength
Strength
|
34 19 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
1030 147 Strength Momentum |
1136 39.7(57) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | Centennial | 0.000 | 1055 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 880 | 50% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Hobbs | 0.000 | 1280 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-5) | 757 | 22% | |
| 08/25/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.000 | 923 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1038 | 60% | |
| 08/28/15 | Mayfield | 0.000 | 1360 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-2) | 931 | 20% | |
| 08/29/15 | Santa Teresa ? | 0.000 | 923 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 915 | 65% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Deming | 0.000 | 1136 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1044 | 36% | |
| 09/03/15 | Alamogordo | 0.001 | 1050 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 978 | 50% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Chaparral | 0.003 | 980 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1167 | 53% | |
| 09/10/15 | Goddard ?? | 0.004 | 830 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-5) | 768 | 73% | |
| 09/12/15 | Silver | 0.005 | 759 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1135 | 79% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Valley | 0.013 | 1049 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-5) | 799 | 45% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Sandia | 0.020 | 1340 | L 1- 4 | Expected (0) | 1046 | 18% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Deming | 0.036 | 1136 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1044 | 36% | |
| 09/29/15 | Mayfield | 0.086 | 1360 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+2) | 1134 | 20% | |
| 10/03/15 | Onate !! | 0.145 | 1183 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1145 | 36% | |
| 10/06/15 | Las Cruces | 0.147 | 1308 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1007 | 24% | |
| 10/08/15 | Deming ! | 0.242 | 1136 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1121 | 41% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Mayfield | 0.384 | 1360 | L 2- 6 | Expected (0) | 1006 | 17% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Onate | 0.575 | 1183 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1018 | 31% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.587 | 1308 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1030 | 21% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Gadsden actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1136, while
Gadsden's "weighted playing strength" is 1042
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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