37 11 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
980 73 Strength Momentum |
1040 35.8(66) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/18/15 | Deming | 0.000 | 1136 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 896 | 35% | |
08/22/15 | at Alamogordo ? | 0.000 | 1050 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-8) | 562 | 39% | |
08/25/15 | Silver | 0.000 | 759 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 757 | 75% | |
08/29/15 | Loretto | W 10- 0 | --- | --- | --- | |||
09/03/15 | at Hatch | 0.001 | 665 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-4) | 784 | 79% | |
09/08/15 | Gadsden | 0.003 | 1030 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 843 | 47% | |
09/10/15 | Hatch | 0.005 | 665 | W 6- 4 | Expected (-1) | 911 | 83% | |
09/15/15 | at Deming | 0.012 | 1136 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 969 | 30% | |
09/17/15 | at Silver | 0.017 | 759 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 831 | 71% | |
09/22/15 | at Valencia | 0.005 | 1086 | L 0-10 | Expected (-9) | 525 | 35% | |
09/26/15 | Centennial | 0.030 | 1055 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 753 | 44% | |
09/29/15 | at Santa Teresa ?? | 0.059 | 923 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-5) | 711 | 54% | |
10/03/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.019 | 1093 | L 0-10 | Expected (-9) | 528 | 34% | |
10/06/15 | at Belen | 0.175 | 975 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 838 | 48% | |
10/10/15 | Valencia | 0.214 | 1086 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 871 | 40% | |
10/13/15 | at Centennial | 0.191 | 1055 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-5) | 725 | 39% | |
10/17/15 | Santa Teresa ! | 0.498 | 923 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 990 | 59% | |
10/22/15 | Los Lunas | 0.629 | 1093 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 975 | 39% | |
10/24/15 | Belen !! | 0.733 | 975 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1016 | 53% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Chaparral actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1040, while
Chaparral's "weighted playing strength" is 939
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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