2015 Season results for Chaparral (GV,3-5A)

37   11   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
980     73
Strength     Momentum
1040   35.8(66)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  4W   15L   0T 
District  2W   8L   0T 
Expected  14:   0+   4- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Deming 0.0001136L 1- 4 Expected (-2) 896 35%
08/22/15 at Alamogordo ? 0.0001050L 0- 9 Expected (-8) 562 39%
08/25/15 Silver 0.000759L 0- 2 Worse (-4) 757 75%
08/29/15 Loretto   W 10- 0 ------ ---
09/03/15 at Hatch 0.001665L 3- 4 Worse (-4) 784 79%
09/08/15 Gadsden 0.0031030L 0- 3 Expected (-3) 843 47%
09/10/15 Hatch 0.005665W 6- 4 Expected (-1) 911 83%
09/15/15 at Deming 0.0121136L 1- 3 Expected (0) 969 30%
09/17/15 at Silver 0.017759L 0- 1 Worse (-3) 831 71%
09/22/15 at Valencia 0.0051086L 0-10 Expected (-9) 525 35%
09/26/15 Centennial 0.0301055L 0- 5 Expected (-4) 753 44%
09/29/15 at Santa Teresa ?? 0.059923L 0- 5 Worse (-5) 711 54%
10/03/15 at Los Lunas 0.0191093L 0-10 Expected (-9) 528 34%
10/06/15 at Belen 0.175975L 0- 3 Expected (-3) 838 48%
10/10/15 Valencia 0.2141086L 0- 3 Expected (-2) 871 40%
10/13/15 at Centennial 0.1911055L 0- 6 Expected (-5) 725 39%
10/17/15 Santa Teresa ! 0.498923W 1- 0 Expected (0) 990 59%
10/22/15 Los Lunas 0.6291093L 1- 2 Expected (0) 975 39%
10/24/15 Belen !! 0.733975W 1- 0 Expected (+1)1016 53%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Chaparral actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1040, while
Chaparral's "weighted playing strength" is 939
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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