Strength
Strength
|
32 17 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1050 -303 Strength Momentum |
1136 54.7(25) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Mayfield !! | 0.000 | 1360 | W 3- 2 | Better (+4) | 1267 | 18% | |
| 08/22/15 | Chaparral | 0.000 | 980 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1468 | 61% | |
| 08/25/15 | Centennial | 0.000 | 1055 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1091 | 53% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Onate | 0.000 | 1183 | T 0- 0 | Better (+2) | 1128 | 33% | |
| 08/28/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.000 | 923 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1176 | 67% | |
| 08/28/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1308 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1091 | 22% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Deming | 0.000 | 1136 | W 5- 0 | Better (+6) | 1357 | 38% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Gadsden | 0.001 | 1030 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1102 | 50% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Deming | 0.001 | 1136 | W 6- 0 | Better (+7) | 1409 | 38% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Manzano | 0.007 | 1120 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 1097 | 40% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.009 | 923 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1149 | 62% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Artesia | 0.014 | 674 | W 4- 2 | Expected (-2) | 974 | 84% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Goddard | 0.022 | 830 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1002 | 71% | |
| 09/22/15 | Roswell | 0.028 | 777 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1103 | 79% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Carlsbad ! | 0.086 | 1258 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1216 | 26% | |
| 10/03/15 | Hobbs ?? | 0.124 | 1280 | L 2- 4 | Expected (0) | 1053 | 28% | |
| 10/10/15 | Clovis | 0.214 | 1305 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1015 | 26% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Hobbs | 0.479 | 1280 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1077 | 24% | |
| 10/20/15 | Carlsbad | 0.565 | 1258 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1092 | 30% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Clovis ? | 0.564 | 1305 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 988 | 22% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Alamogordo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1136, while
Alamogordo's "weighted playing strength" is 1055
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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