| Overall | 6W 10L 2T |
| District | 1W 6L 1T |
| Expected | 15: 0+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
26 15 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1120 -55 Strength Momentum |
1154 47.9(36) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Valley ?? | 0.000 | 1049 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1023 | 60% |  |
| 08/27/15 | at Cleveland | 0.000 | 1384 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1114 | 21% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Eldorado | 0.000 | 1533 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 1086 | 12% | |
| 09/01/15 | West Mesa | 0.001 | 889 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1043 | 75% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.001 | 964 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1104 | 64% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Atrisco Heritage !! | 0.003 | 964 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1154 | 64% | |
| 09/12/15 | Alamogordo | 0.007 | 1050 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1074 | 60% | |
| 09/15/15 | Moriarty | 0.011 | 458 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-4) | 928 | 97% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Rio Grande ! | 0.008 | 931 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1290 | 68% | |
| 09/19/15 | Carlsbad | 0.020 | 1258 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1077 | 37% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Highland | 0.036 | 907 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-2) | 1025 | 69% | |
| 09/24/15 | La Cueva ? | 0.023 | 1493 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1043 | 17% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Eldorado | 0.059 | 1533 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 1086 | 12% | |
| 10/01/15 | Sandia | 0.085 | 1340 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1068 | 29% | |
| 10/08/15 | Highland | 0.242 | 907 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1052 | 73% | |
| 10/13/15 | at La Cueva | 0.287 | 1493 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 1117 | 14% | |
| 10/15/15 | Eldorado | 0.112 | 1533 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 959 | 14% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Sandia | 0.575 | 1340 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1142 | 25% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Manzano actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1154, while
Manzano's "weighted playing strength" is 1095
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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