1 2 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1533 172 Strength Momentum |
1340 65.2(4) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Cleveland | 0.000 | 1384 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1497 | 69% | |
08/27/15 | Valley | 0.000 | 1049 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1532 | 92% | |
08/29/15 | Manzano | 0.000 | 1120 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1568 | 88% | |
09/02/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.001 | 1268 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1512 | 76% | |
09/04/15 | Volcano Vista ? | 0.001 | 1463 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1386 | 61% | |
09/08/15 | at West Mesa | 0.002 | 889 | W 6- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1475 | 95% | |
09/10/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.005 | 1444 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1550 | 58% | |
09/15/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.011 | 1463 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1560 | 55% | |
09/18/15 | Hobbs | 0.017 | 1280 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1546 | 78% | |
09/22/15 | Sandia | 0.032 | 1340 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1575 | 73% | |
09/24/15 | at St. Pius ?? | 0.048 | 1289 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1373 | 74% | |
09/29/15 | Manzano | 0.059 | 1120 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1568 | 88% | |
10/03/15 | at La Cueva | 0.144 | 1493 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1525 | 52% | |
10/06/15 | at Highland | 0.014 | 907 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1751 | 94% | |
10/08/15 | at Sandia ! | 0.116 | 1340 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1701 | 68% | |
10/15/15 | at Manzano | 0.112 | 1120 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1695 | 86% | |
10/20/15 | La Cueva | 0.364 | 1493 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-5) | 1300 | 58% | |
10/23/15 | Highland | 0.137 | 907 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1673 | 95% | |
11/05/15 | * Volcano Vista | 0.934 | 1463 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1560 | 58% | |
11/06/15 | * Albuquerque !! | 0.476 | 1514 | W 5- 0 | Better (+5) | 1787 | 52% | |
11/07/15 | * Cibola | 0.997 | 1546 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1501 | 49% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Eldorado actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1340, while
Eldorado's "weighted playing strength" is 1557
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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