2015 Season results for Albuquerque (GV,5-6A)

3   3   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1514     35
Strength     Momentum
1071   58.2(18)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  16W   3L   1T 
District  9W   0L   0T 
Expected  18:   0+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/25/15 Highland 0.000907W 4- 0 Expected (-2)1400 95%
08/27/15 Cibola 0.0001546L 1- 2 Expected (-1)1468 49%
08/29/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.000964W 5- 0 Expected (0)1503 92%
09/01/15 at La Cueva ?? 0.0011493L 1- 3 Expected (-2)1415 50%
09/03/15 at Cleveland 0.0011384W 1- 0 Expected (0)1511 62%
09/08/15 Sandia Prep 0.0031273W 3- 1 Expected (-1)1482 78%
09/10/15 Sandia 0.0051340W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1465 71%
09/15/15 Rio Rancho 0.0121444W 2- 1 Expected (0)1517 60%
09/17/15 Los Lunas 0.0151093W 4- 1 Expected (-1)1442 89%
09/23/15 Atrisco Heritage 0.005964W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1747 94%
09/25/15 Albuquerque Academy 0.0541268T 0- 0 Worse (-3)1379 78%
09/30/15 at Valley 0.0491049W 5- 0 Expected (+1)1545 88%
10/03/15 Rio Grande 0.093931W 5- 0 Expected (-1)1463 95%
10/07/15 at West Mesa 0.105889W 5- 0 Expected (-1)1465 95%
10/10/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.105964W 7- 1 Expected (+1)1555 92%
10/17/15 Valley ! 0.0971049W 9- 0 Expected (+4)1734 91%
10/21/15 at Rio Grande 0.163931W 7- 0 Expected (+1)1590 94%
10/24/15 West Mesa 0.375889W 6- 0 Expected (0)1494 96%
11/05/15 * Hobbs !! 0.6361280W 5- 0 Expected (+2)1638 74%
11/06/15 * Eldorado ? 0.4761533L 0- 5 Worse (-5)1259 48%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1071, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1501
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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