3 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1514 35 Strength Momentum |
1071 58.2(18) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Highland | 0.000 | 907 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1400 | 95% | |
08/27/15 | Cibola | 0.000 | 1546 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1468 | 49% | |
08/29/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.000 | 964 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1503 | 92% | |
09/01/15 | at La Cueva ?? | 0.001 | 1493 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1415 | 50% | |
09/03/15 | at Cleveland | 0.001 | 1384 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1511 | 62% | |
09/08/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.003 | 1273 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1482 | 78% | |
09/10/15 | Sandia | 0.005 | 1340 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1465 | 71% | |
09/15/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.012 | 1444 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1517 | 60% | |
09/17/15 | Los Lunas | 0.015 | 1093 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1442 | 89% | |
09/23/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.005 | 964 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1747 | 94% | |
09/25/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.054 | 1268 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-3) | 1379 | 78% | |
09/30/15 | at Valley | 0.049 | 1049 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1545 | 88% | |
10/03/15 | Rio Grande | 0.093 | 931 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1463 | 95% | |
10/07/15 | at West Mesa | 0.105 | 889 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1465 | 95% | |
10/10/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.105 | 964 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1555 | 92% | |
10/17/15 | Valley ! | 0.097 | 1049 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1734 | 91% | |
10/21/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.163 | 931 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1590 | 94% | |
10/24/15 | West Mesa | 0.375 | 889 | W 6- 0 | Expected (0) | 1494 | 96% | |
11/05/15 | * Hobbs !! | 0.636 | 1280 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1638 | 74% | |
11/06/15 | * Eldorado ? | 0.476 | 1533 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-5) | 1259 | 48% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1071, while
Albuquerque's "weighted playing strength" is 1501
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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