Strength
Strength
|
32 17 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1049 -13 Strength Momentum |
1016 50.9(30) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Manzano ! | 0.000 | 1120 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 1147 | 40% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Eldorado | 0.000 | 1533 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 1051 | 8% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Cleveland | 0.000 | 1384 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-5) | 764 | 16% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Sandia ? | 0.001 | 1340 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 954 | 20% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Del Norte | 0.001 | 895 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1134 | 65% | |
| 09/08/15 | Highland | 0.003 | 907 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1016 | 67% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Piedra Vista ?? | 0.005 | 1001 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 836 | 53% | |
| 09/18/15 | Gadsden | 0.013 | 1030 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1280 | 55% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Onate !! | 0.020 | 1183 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 1228 | 33% | |
| 09/23/15 | West Mesa | 0.032 | 889 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1159 | 69% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.053 | 964 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1119 | 57% | |
| 09/30/15 | Albuquerque | 0.049 | 1514 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-1) | 1017 | 12% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.128 | 1268 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1020 | 25% | |
| 10/07/15 | Rio Grande | 0.220 | 931 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1028 | 65% | |
| 10/10/15 | at West Mesa | 0.248 | 889 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1081 | 65% | |
| 10/14/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.403 | 964 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1045 | 62% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.097 | 1514 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 829 | 9% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.660 | 931 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1052 | 60% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valley actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1016, while
Valley's "weighted playing strength" is 1044
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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