10 9 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1340 -1 Strength Momentum |
1268 55.7(24) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1444 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1330 | 41% | |
08/26/15 | West Mesa | 0.000 | 889 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-3) | 1203 | 90% | |
08/29/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.000 | 1268 | T 1- 1 | Worse (0) | 1316 | 56% | |
09/02/15 | Valley | 0.001 | 1049 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1435 | 80% | |
09/04/15 | at Highland | 0.001 | 907 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1439 | 86% | |
09/08/15 | at Cibola !! | 0.003 | 1546 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 1555 | 26% | |
09/10/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.005 | 1514 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1388 | 29% | |
09/12/15 | Cleveland ? | 0.006 | 1384 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1250 | 47% | |
09/18/15 | Onate | 0.017 | 1183 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1400 | 69% | |
09/19/15 | Gadsden | 0.020 | 1030 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 1324 | 82% | |
09/22/15 | at Eldorado | 0.032 | 1533 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1298 | 27% | |
09/26/15 | Highland | 0.024 | 907 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1468 | 88% | |
10/01/15 | at Manzano | 0.085 | 1120 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1392 | 71% | |
10/06/15 | La Cueva | 0.188 | 1493 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1355 | 36% | |
10/08/15 | Eldorado | 0.116 | 1533 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1173 | 32% | |
10/13/15 | at Highland | 0.066 | 907 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1545 | 86% | |
10/20/15 | Manzano | 0.575 | 1120 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1319 | 75% | |
10/22/15 | at La Cueva ! | 0.629 | 1493 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1478 | 31% | |
10/31/15 | at Las Cruces ?? | 0.923 | 1308 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1286 | 51% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Sandia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1268, while
Sandia's "weighted playing strength" is 1351
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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