| Overall | 7W 12L 1T |
| District | 3W 5L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 1+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
21 14 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1183 -33 Strength Momentum |
1197 45.9(44) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/19/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.000 | 923 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1243 | 79% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Cleveland | 0.000 | 1384 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 991 | 27% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1444 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1073 | 22% | |
| 08/27/15 | Alamogordo | 0.000 | 1050 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-2) | 1105 | 67% | |
| 08/28/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.000 | 923 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1346 | 79% | |
| 08/28/15 | at Las Cruces !! | 0.000 | 1308 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1307 | 34% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Centennial | 0.000 | 1055 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1081 | 62% | |
| 09/05/15 | Carlsbad | 0.002 | 1258 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1109 | 44% | |
| 09/11/15 | Hobbs | 0.006 | 1280 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1170 | 41% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Sandia | 0.017 | 1340 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1123 | 31% | |
| 09/19/15 | Valley ? | 0.020 | 1049 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 1005 | 67% | |
| 09/22/15 | Silver | 0.036 | 759 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1009 | 89% | |
| 09/26/15 | Las Cruces | 0.053 | 1308 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1134 | 39% | |
| 09/29/15 | Deming | 0.091 | 1136 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1198 | 58% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Gadsden ?? | 0.145 | 1030 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1068 | 64% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Mayfield | 0.242 | 1360 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 1233 | 29% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.382 | 1308 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1107 | 34% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Deming ! | 0.425 | 1136 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1271 | 53% | |
| 10/20/15 | Gadsden | 0.575 | 1030 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1195 | 69% | |
| 10/23/15 | Mayfield | 0.597 | 1360 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1160 | 34% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Onate actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1197, while
Onate's "weighted playing strength" is 1177
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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