2015 Season results for Mayfield (GV,3-6A)

9   8   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1360     160
Strength     Momentum
1183   49.1(33)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  7W   12L   1T 
District  5W   3L   0T 
Expected  9:   0+   11- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Alamogordo 0.0001050L 2- 3 Worse (-4)1144 82%
08/21/15 at Hobbs 0.0001280T 1- 1 Worse (-1)1332 56%
08/22/15 at Carlsbad 0.0001258L 0- 5 Worse (-6)1068 59%
08/28/15 at Gadsden 0.0001030W 7- 2 Expected (+2)1459 80%
08/29/15 Centennial 0.0001055L 0- 1 Worse (-4)1146 82%
08/29/15 at Las Cruces 0.0001308L 1- 5 Worse (-4)1145 53%
09/10/15 at Farmington ? 0.0031220L 0- 5 Worse (-6)1049 63%
09/11/15 at Los Alamos 0.0061278L 0- 2 Worse (-3)1231 57%
09/12/15 at Centennial 0.0071055L 1- 2 Worse (-4)1169 79%
09/18/15 La Cueva 0.0071493L 0- 6 Expected (-5)1111 38%
09/19/15 Volcano Vista 0.0221463L 0- 1 Expected (0)1350 41%
09/24/15 at Las Cruces 0.0421308L 1- 4 Worse (-3)1195 53%
09/26/15 Deming ?? 0.0531136L 0- 2 Worse (-4)1136 75%
09/29/15 at Gadsden 0.0861030W 4- 3 Expected (-2)1257 80%
10/02/15 Lovington 0.100270W 4- 0 Expected (-7)1005 98%
10/08/15 Onate 0.2421183W 4- 3 Expected (-1)1310 71%
10/10/15 Las Cruces 0.2481308L 0- 2 Worse (-3)1222 59%
10/13/15 at Deming ! 0.2751136W 4- 1 Expected (+1)1410 71%
10/17/15 Gadsden 0.3841030W 6- 2 Expected (0)1385 83%
10/23/15 at Onate !! 0.5971183W 2- 0 Expected (0)1384 66%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Mayfield actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1183, while
Mayfield's "weighted playing strength" is 1323
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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