20 4 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1220 -214 Strength Momentum |
1155 64.2(5) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.000 | 1278 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1361 | 40% | |
08/28/15 | Bosque | 0.000 | 1185 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1392 | 57% | |
08/28/15 | at Clovis ! | 0.000 | 1305 | W 5- 0 | Better (+6) | 1526 | 37% | |
08/29/15 | Santa Fe | 0.000 | 984 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1610 | 77% | |
09/03/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.000 | 1050 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1533 | 72% | |
09/10/15 | Mayfield !! | 0.003 | 1360 | W 5- 0 | Better (+6) | 1531 | 37% | |
09/11/15 | Hope Christian | 0.006 | 1392 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1395 | 33% | |
09/12/15 | at Aztec | 0.004 | 1155 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1400 | 55% | |
09/15/15 | Cleveland | 0.012 | 1384 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1340 | 34% | |
09/19/15 | at St. Pius ? | 0.022 | 1289 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1166 | 39% | |
09/22/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.032 | 1001 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1249 | 76% | |
09/24/15 | at Aztec | 0.035 | 1155 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1349 | 55% | |
09/26/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.062 | 1392 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1268 | 29% | |
09/29/15 | Gallup | 0.012 | 581 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1409 | 97% | |
10/06/15 | at Miyamura | 0.072 | 675 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1263 | 93% | |
10/08/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.207 | 1001 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1222 | 72% | |
10/13/15 | Aztec | 0.145 | 1155 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1532 | 61% | |
10/15/15 | at Gallup | 0.031 | 581 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1432 | 96% | |
10/17/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.498 | 1268 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1282 | 47% | |
10/22/15 | Miyamura | 0.428 | 675 | W 5- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1188 | 95% | |
11/05/15 | * Los Lunas | 0.951 | 1093 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1245 | 65% | |
11/06/15 | * Los Alamos ?? | 0.850 | 1278 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1137 | 43% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Farmington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1155, while
Farmington's "weighted playing strength" is 1232
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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