2015 Season results for Farmington (GV,1-5A)

20   4   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1220     -214
Strength     Momentum
1155   64.2(5)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  19W   3L   0T 
District  8W   0L   0T 
Expected  16:   6+   0- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/22/15 at Los Alamos 0.0001278W 3- 1 Better (+3)1361 40%
08/28/15 Bosque 0.0001185W 5- 1 Expected (+3)1392 57%
08/28/15 at Clovis ! 0.0001305W 5- 0 Better (+6)1526 37%
08/29/15 Santa Fe 0.000984W 10- 0 Expected (+7)1610 77%
09/03/15 Kirtland Central 0.0001050W 8- 0 Expected (+6)1533 72%
09/10/15 Mayfield !! 0.0031360W 5- 0 Better (+6)1531 37%
09/11/15 Hope Christian 0.0061392W 2- 0 Better (+3)1395 33%
09/12/15 at Aztec 0.0041155W 4- 0 Expected (+4)1400 55%
09/15/15 Cleveland 0.0121384W 1- 0 Better (+2)1340 34%
09/19/15 at St. Pius ? 0.0221289L 1- 3 Expected (-1)1166 39%
09/22/15 Piedra Vista 0.0321001W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1249 76%
09/24/15 at Aztec 0.0351155W 3- 0 Expected (+3)1349 55%
09/26/15 at Hope Christian 0.0621392L 1- 2 Expected (+1)1268 29%
09/29/15 Gallup 0.012581W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1409 97%
10/06/15 at Miyamura 0.072675W 6- 0 Expected (+1)1263 93%
10/08/15 at Piedra Vista 0.2071001W 2- 0 Expected (0)1222 72%
10/13/15 Aztec 0.1451155W 7- 0 Expected (+6)1532 61%
10/15/15 at Gallup 0.031581W 11- 1 Expected (+4)1432 96%
10/17/15 Albuquerque Academy 0.4981268W 2- 1 Better (+1)1282 47%
10/22/15 Miyamura 0.428675W 5- 0 Expected (-1)1188 95%
11/05/15 * Los Lunas 0.9511093W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1245 65%
11/06/15 * Los Alamos ?? 0.8501278L 1- 3 Expected (-2)1137 43%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Farmington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1155, while
Farmington's "weighted playing strength" is 1232
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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