| Overall | 13W 7L 0T |
| District | 6W 2L 0T |
| Expected | 19: 1+ 0- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
23 5 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1155 -173 Strength Momentum |
1074 56.2(20) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Miyamura | 0.000 | 675 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1104 | 92% |  |
| 08/21/15 | Los Lunas | 0.000 | 1093 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1314 | 60% | |
| 08/22/15 | St. Pius | 0.000 | 1289 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1060 | 37% | |
| 08/29/15 | Los Lunas | 0.000 | 1093 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1212 | 60% | |
| 09/01/15 | Kirtland Central ! | 0.000 | 1050 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+9) | 1611 | 65% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.000 | 958 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1478 | 70% | |
| 09/05/15 | St. Pius | 0.002 | 1289 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1160 | 37% | |
| 09/10/15 | Centennial !! | 0.003 | 1055 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1397 | 65% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.005 | 1268 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1323 | 34% | |
| 09/12/15 | Farmington ? | 0.004 | 1220 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 974 | 45% | |
| 09/22/15 | Gallup | 0.005 | 581 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1376 | 95% | |
| 09/24/15 | Farmington | 0.035 | 1220 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 1025 | 45% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.091 | 1268 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1173 | 34% | |
| 10/01/15 | Miyamura | 0.023 | 675 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1367 | 92% | |
| 10/06/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.191 | 1001 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1167 | 70% | |
| 10/08/15 | at Gallup | 0.028 | 581 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1344 | 94% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Farmington ?? | 0.145 | 1220 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 842 | 39% | |
| 10/20/15 | Miyamura | 0.385 | 675 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1155 | 92% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.629 | 1001 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1140 | 65% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Los Alamos | 0.991 | 1278 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1178 | 36% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Aztec actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1074, while
Aztec's "weighted playing strength" is 1147
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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