58 18 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
675 -181 Strength Momentum |
993 41.2(53) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Aztec | 0.000 | 1155 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 725 | 8% | |
08/21/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.000 | 1050 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+2) | 774 | 13% | |
08/25/15 | Bloomfield !! | 0.000 | 918 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 835 | 27% | |
08/27/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.000 | 739 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 819 | 40% | |
09/03/15 | at Valencia | 0.001 | 1086 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+2) | 792 | 11% | |
09/05/15 | Belen | 0.001 | 975 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 663 | 21% | |
09/09/15 | at Grants ?? | 0.004 | 561 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 579 | 60% | |
09/12/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.006 | 984 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 640 | 17% | |
09/17/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.011 | 669 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+5) | 913 | 53% | |
09/19/15 | Del Norte ! | 0.023 | 895 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 823 | 29% | |
09/24/15 | at Gallup | 0.047 | 581 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 639 | 58% | |
09/29/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.088 | 1001 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 750 | 16% | |
10/01/15 | at Aztec | 0.023 | 1155 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 462 | 8% | |
10/06/15 | Farmington | 0.072 | 1220 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 631 | 7% | |
10/13/15 | Gallup | 0.373 | 581 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 666 | 63% | |
10/15/15 | Piedra Vista ? | 0.208 | 1001 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-2) | 574 | 19% | |
10/20/15 | at Aztec | 0.385 | 1155 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 674 | 8% | |
10/22/15 | at Farmington | 0.428 | 1220 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 707 | 5% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Miyamura actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 993, while
Miyamura's "weighted playing strength" is 670
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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