21 4 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1185 -146 Strength Momentum |
1017 56.2(19) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Los Alamos | 0.000 | 1278 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1220 | 41% | |
08/28/15 | at Farmington ?? | 0.000 | 1220 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1013 | 43% | |
08/29/15 | Santa Fe !! | 0.000 | 984 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1537 | 74% | |
08/29/15 | Clovis | 0.000 | 1305 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1233 | 38% | |
09/08/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.000 | 739 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1471 | 90% | |
09/12/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.007 | 918 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1113 | 76% | |
09/15/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.011 | 1273 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1291 | 37% | |
09/19/15 | Hope Christian | 0.020 | 1392 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 1177 | 29% | |
09/22/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.005 | 669 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1435 | 93% | |
09/24/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.035 | 752 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1131 | 87% | |
10/01/15 | Taos | 0.033 | 816 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1399 | 86% | |
10/03/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.140 | 1050 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1206 | 68% | |
10/05/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.046 | 669 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1295 | 91% | |
10/07/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.134 | 739 | W 5- 1 | Expected (0) | 1175 | 88% | |
10/13/15 | Sandia Prep ? | 0.352 | 1273 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1167 | 42% | |
10/16/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.410 | 1392 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1150 | 25% | |
10/17/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.384 | 722 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1143 | 91% | |
10/20/15 | Bloomfield ! | 0.307 | 918 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1344 | 80% | |
10/22/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.629 | 1050 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1180 | 63% | |
10/24/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.733 | 1262 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1185 | 38% | |
10/31/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.593 | 739 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1203 | 90% | |
11/05/15 | * Sandia Prep | 0.934 | 1273 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1167 | 40% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bosque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1017, while
Bosque's "weighted playing strength" is 1188
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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