| Overall | 17W 5L 0T |
| District | 5W 3L 0T |
| Expected | 17: 0+ 5- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
1 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1546 -64 Strength Momentum |
1362 61.4(9) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.000 | 964 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1787 | 93% |  |
| 08/27/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.000 | 1514 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1591 | 51% | |
| 08/29/15 | Highland | 0.000 | 907 | W 7- 0 | Expected (0) | 1571 | 96% | |
| 09/02/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.001 | 1463 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1443 | 62% | |
| 09/04/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.002 | 1268 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1446 | 80% | |
| 09/08/15 | Sandia ?? | 0.003 | 1340 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 1331 | 74% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.000 | 964 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1787 | 93% | |
| 09/15/15 | Rio Grande | 0.002 | 931 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1747 | 96% | |
| 09/18/15 | Carlsbad !! | 0.013 | 1258 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1643 | 80% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hobbs | 0.022 | 1280 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1502 | 79% | |
| 09/22/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.036 | 1463 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1543 | 62% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.079 | 1444 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-5) | 1306 | 59% | |
| 10/03/15 | Cleveland | 0.145 | 1384 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1504 | 70% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Santa Fe ! | 0.016 | 984 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1797 | 93% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.274 | 1463 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1566 | 57% | |
| 10/17/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.470 | 1444 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1433 | 64% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Cleveland ? | 0.608 | 1384 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1377 | 65% | |
| 10/23/15 | Santa Fe | 0.090 | 984 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1773 | 95% | |
| 10/31/15 | Carlsbad | 0.710 | 1258 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1592 | 80% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Rio Rancho | 0.991 | 1444 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1533 | 61% | |
| 11/06/15 | * La Cueva | 0.938 | 1493 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1581 | 56% | |
| 11/07/15 | * Eldorado | 0.997 | 1533 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1578 | 51% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Cibola actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1362, while
Cibola's "weighted playing strength" is 1534
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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