| Overall | 17W 3L 1T |
| District | 5W 0L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 3+ 2- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
14 4 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1197 107 Strength Momentum |
1057 63.1(7) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Carlsbad !! | 0.000 | 1095 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1389 | 70% |  |
| 08/28/15 | at Farmington | 0.000 | 1250 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1283 | 37% | |
| 08/29/15 | Bosque | 0.000 | 1309 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1193 | 34% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Goddard | 0.000 | 996 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1358 | 78% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.001 | 1095 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1206 | 64% | |
| 09/04/15 | Hatch ! | 0.000 | 1052 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1471 | 76% | |
| 09/05/15 | Valencia ?? | 0.001 | 1075 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-5) | 925 | 74% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Lovington | 0.002 | 1057 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1186 | 70% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Clovis | 0.003 | 1189 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1252 | 48% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Valencia | 0.004 | 1075 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1246 | 68% | |
| 09/15/15 | Hobbs | 0.012 | 1286 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1281 | 37% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.005 | 950 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1603 | 83% | |
| 10/06/15 | Goddard | 0.199 | 996 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1087 | 83% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Lovington | 0.278 | 1057 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1186 | 70% | |
| 10/12/15 | at Portales | 0.161 | 936 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1328 | 84% | |
| 10/15/15 | Artesia | 0.037 | 779 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1498 | 95% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Goddard | 0.476 | 996 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1156 | 78% | |
| 10/20/15 | Lovington | 0.499 | 1057 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1268 | 76% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.039 | 779 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1517 | 94% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Valencia | 0.946 | 1075 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1196 | 71% | |
| 11/06/15 | * Los Alamos | 0.988 | 1300 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1208 | 32% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Roswell actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1057, while
Roswell's "weighted playing strength" is 1210
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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