| Overall | 7W 12L 1T |
| District | 1W 4L 1T |
| Expected | 13: 1+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
23 15 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1095 275 Strength Momentum |
1035 46.5(43) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20/15 | Gadsden | 0.000 | 1013 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 944 | 66% |  |
| 08/25/15 | at Roswell | 0.000 | 1197 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 903 | 30% | |
| 09/01/15 | Roswell | 0.001 | 1197 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1086 | 36% | |
| 09/04/15 | Valencia | 0.002 | 1075 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1025 | 57% | |
| 09/05/15 | Goddard | 0.002 | 996 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1086 | 70% | |
| 09/05/15 | NMMI | 0.002 | 909 | W 5- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1043 | 81% | |
| 09/08/15 | Artesia | 0.003 | 779 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1078 | 91% | |
| 09/11/15 | Onate ?? | 0.005 | 859 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-5) | 867 | 84% | |
| 09/12/15 | Las Cruces | 0.001 | 1152 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-8) | 704 | 43% | |
| 09/15/15 | Goddard ? | 0.009 | 996 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-4) | 886 | 70% | |
| 09/18/15 | at West Mesa !! | 0.019 | 1156 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1185 | 37% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.021 | 943 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 929 | 71% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Artesia | 0.009 | 779 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1303 | 88% | |
| 09/24/15 | Lovington ! | 0.044 | 1057 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1167 | 60% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Clovis | 0.035 | 1189 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 899 | 31% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.091 | 1005 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1060 | 62% | |
| 10/10/15 | Hobbs | 0.278 | 1286 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1131 | 23% | |
| 10/17/15 | Clovis | 0.476 | 1189 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1082 | 37% | |
| 10/20/15 | Alamogordo | 0.423 | 1005 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1242 | 68% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Hobbs | 0.517 | 1286 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 999 | 19% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Carlsbad actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1035, while
Carlsbad's "weighted playing strength" is 1098
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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