59 17 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
779 -72 Strength Momentum |
1050 37.5(61) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | Belen !! | 0.000 | 593 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 726 | 80% | |
08/25/15 | at Hobbs | 0.000 | 1286 | L 1-11 | Expected (-5) | 522 | 3% | |
08/29/15 | Valencia | 0.000 | 1075 | L 1- 9 | Expected (-5) | 507 | 13% | |
09/01/15 | NMMI | 0.001 | 909 | L 4- 6 | Expected (-1) | 734 | 31% | |
09/04/15 | at Capital | 0.001 | 961 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 627 | 20% | |
09/05/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.001 | 1050 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-4) | 567 | 12% | |
09/08/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.003 | 1095 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 796 | 9% | |
09/15/15 | at NMMI | 0.004 | 909 | L 2- 9 | Expected (-6) | 497 | 26% | |
09/17/15 | Alamogordo ?? | 0.001 | 1005 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 362 | 20% | |
09/22/15 | Carlsbad | 0.009 | 1095 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-4) | 571 | 12% | |
09/25/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.005 | 1201 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 479 | 5% | |
09/26/15 | St. Michael's | 0.029 | 904 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 579 | 33% | |
10/03/15 | at Moriarty | 0.082 | 981 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-3) | 637 | 18% | |
10/06/15 | Lovington | 0.048 | 1057 | L 2- 9 | Expected (-4) | 552 | 14% | |
10/10/15 | Goddard | 0.100 | 996 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 574 | 20% | |
10/15/15 | at Roswell | 0.037 | 1197 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 477 | 5% | |
10/17/15 | at Lovington ? | 0.069 | 1057 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-6) | 463 | 11% | |
10/20/15 | at Goddard | 0.560 | 996 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 797 | 16% | |
10/22/15 | Roswell | 0.039 | 1197 | L 1-11 | Expected (-6) | 458 | 6% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Artesia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1050, while
Artesia's "weighted playing strength" is 689
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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