| Overall | 11W 8L 1T |
| District | 2W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 14: 3+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
36 9 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
981 20 Strength Momentum |
940 47.1(41) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | Los Lunas ?? | 0.000 | 931 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 846 | 62% |  |
| 08/29/15 | at Capital ? | 0.000 | 961 | L 0- 6 | Worse (-6) | 677 | 50% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Portales | 0.001 | 936 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1018 | 55% | |
| 09/03/15 | Santa Fe !! | 0.001 | 1050 | W 4- 2 | Better (+2) | 1106 | 41% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.001 | 1201 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 899 | 16% | |
| 09/08/15 | Rio Grande | 0.003 | 943 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1003 | 59% | |
| 09/10/15 | Belen | 0.002 | 593 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1082 | 94% | |
| 09/12/15 | Aztec | 0.007 | 1058 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1060 | 41% | |
| 09/15/15 | Manzano | 0.012 | 915 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 989 | 64% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Del Norte | 0.014 | 798 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 999 | 76% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Gallup | 0.001 | 579 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1309 | 92% | |
| 09/24/15 | Hope Christian | 0.045 | 1088 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 975 | 35% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.115 | 884 | L 5- 6 | Worse (-2) | 893 | 63% | |
| 10/03/15 | Artesia ! | 0.082 | 779 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1123 | 82% | |
| 10/06/15 | at St. Pius | 0.113 | 1071 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-4) | 783 | 32% | |
| 10/08/15 | Grants | 0.226 | 588 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 875 | 93% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.052 | 1495 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-4) | 784 | 3% | |
| 10/15/15 | St. Pius | 0.434 | 1071 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1016 | 38% | |
| 10/22/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.159 | 1495 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-2) | 872 | 3% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Grants | 0.167 | 588 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1151 | 91% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Moriarty actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 940, while
Moriarty's "weighted playing strength" is 962
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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