| Overall | 12W 7L 1T |
| District | 4W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 15: 4+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
38 12 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
961 -150 Strength Momentum |
971 51.7(30) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | St. Michael's | 0.000 | 904 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1279 | 63% |  |
| 08/26/15 | at Santa Fe Prep !! | 0.000 | 1111 | W 5- 1 | Better (+6) | 1247 | 23% | |
| 08/29/15 | Moriarty ! | 0.000 | 981 | W 6- 0 | Better (+6) | 1265 | 50% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Robertson | 0.000 | 872 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1390 | 62% | |
| 09/04/15 | Artesia | 0.001 | 779 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1112 | 80% | |
| 09/10/15 | Centennial | 0.005 | 961 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1051 | 53% | |
| 09/11/15 | Farmington | 0.006 | 1250 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1046 | 13% | |
| 09/12/15 | Los Alamos | 0.007 | 1300 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1071 | 10% | |
| 09/14/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.010 | 844 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 943 | 72% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.010 | 1050 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1115 | 32% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Los Lunas ?? | 0.017 | 931 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-1) | 905 | 52% | |
| 09/19/15 | Valencia ? | 0.020 | 1075 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 908 | 34% | |
| 09/22/15 | Los Alamos | 0.034 | 1300 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1071 | 10% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.029 | 884 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1185 | 60% | |
| 09/29/15 | Del Norte | 0.028 | 798 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1226 | 78% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Farmington | 0.115 | 1250 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1065 | 10% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.291 | 1300 | T 2- 2 | Better (+4) | 1140 | 8% | |
| 10/13/15 | Bernalillo | 0.116 | 884 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1269 | 66% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Del Norte | 0.302 | 798 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1090 | 73% | |
| 10/30/15 | Valencia | 0.780 | 1075 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 908 | 34% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Capital actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 971, while
Capital's "weighted playing strength" is 1027
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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