| Overall | 16W 6L 0T |
| District | 6W 4L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 3+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
25 5 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1075 -327 Strength Momentum |
961 56.4(20) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Socorro | 0.000 | 1040 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1249 | 60% |  |
| 08/29/15 | at Artesia | 0.000 | 779 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1346 | 87% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Gallup | 0.000 | 579 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1356 | 96% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.002 | 1095 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1145 | 43% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Roswell !! | 0.001 | 1197 | W 4- 0 | Better (+5) | 1347 | 26% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Ruidoso ! | 0.000 | 950 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+9) | 1542 | 68% | |
| 09/10/15 | Roswell | 0.004 | 1197 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1026 | 32% | |
| 09/12/15 | at West Mesa | 0.006 | 1156 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1225 | 33% | |
| 09/15/15 | Del Norte | 0.004 | 798 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1283 | 89% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Capital | 0.020 | 961 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1128 | 66% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Chaparral | 0.033 | 972 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 933 | 65% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Belen | 0.004 | 593 | W 12- 2 | Expected (+5) | 1364 | 96% | |
| 09/29/15 | Centennial | 0.085 | 961 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1108 | 72% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Santa Teresa ?? | 0.144 | 902 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 948 | 75% | |
| 10/06/15 | Los Lunas ? | 0.190 | 931 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 943 | 76% | |
| 10/10/15 | Chaparral | 0.288 | 972 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1064 | 71% | |
| 10/13/15 | Belen | 0.116 | 593 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1181 | 97% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Centennial | 0.352 | 961 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-5) | 826 | 66% | |
| 10/22/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.623 | 902 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1079 | 80% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.700 | 931 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1063 | 71% | |
| 10/30/15 | at Capital | 0.780 | 961 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1128 | 66% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Roswell | 0.946 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1076 | 29% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Valencia actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 961, while
Valencia's "weighted playing strength" is 1056
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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