40 9 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
950 -116 Strength Momentum |
996 47.4(40) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Goddard | 0.000 | 996 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-3) | 813 | 45% | |
08/29/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 1057 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 793 | 35% | |
09/04/15 | at Goddard !! | 0.001 | 996 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1083 | 38% | |
09/05/15 | Valencia | 0.000 | 1075 | L 0-10 | Expected (-9) | 483 | 32% | |
09/05/15 | at Lovington | 0.002 | 1057 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 963 | 29% | |
09/17/15 | at Portales ! | 0.016 | 936 | W 5- 4 | Better (+1) | 1003 | 49% | |
09/19/15 | at Silver | 0.008 | 870 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1224 | 61% | |
09/22/15 | Hatch | 0.034 | 1052 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 942 | 36% | |
09/24/15 | East Mountain | 0.047 | 890 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 960 | 64% | |
09/26/15 | Silver | 0.044 | 870 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1101 | 67% | |
09/28/15 | at Socorro ?? | 0.057 | 1040 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 804 | 32% | |
09/29/15 | Roswell | 0.005 | 1197 | L 0-10 | Expected (-8) | 544 | 17% | |
10/03/15 | Portales | 0.144 | 936 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 984 | 56% | |
10/08/15 | at Hatch ? | 0.052 | 1052 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-7) | 601 | 30% | |
10/10/15 | NMMI | 0.291 | 909 | T 4- 4 | Worse (-1) | 920 | 61% | |
10/15/15 | Socorro | 0.415 | 1040 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 936 | 38% | |
10/19/15 | at East Mountain | 0.420 | 890 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1080 | 57% | |
10/24/15 | at NMMI | 0.732 | 909 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 939 | 54% | |
10/31/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.916 | 1003 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 936 | 37% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Ruidoso actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 996, while
Ruidoso's "weighted playing strength" is 952
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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