| Overall | 12W 8L 0T |
| District | 3W 3L 0T |
| Expected | 18: 1+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
27 7 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1057 -88 Strength Momentum |
973 50.2(35) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18/15 | at Clovis | 0.000 | 1189 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1083 | 26% |  |
| 08/21/15 | at Grants | 0.000 | 588 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1352 | 95% | |
| 08/22/15 | Miyamura | 0.000 | 696 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1276 | 92% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Aztec | 0.000 | 1058 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1117 | 47% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.000 | 950 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1215 | 65% | |
| 09/04/15 | NMMI | 0.001 | 909 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1175 | 77% | |
| 09/05/15 | Roswell | 0.002 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1067 | 30% | |
| 09/05/15 | Ruidoso | 0.002 | 950 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1044 | 71% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Portales | 0.003 | 936 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1056 | 67% | |
| 09/12/15 | NMMI | 0.005 | 909 | W 7- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1175 | 77% | |
| 09/15/15 | Clovis | 0.012 | 1189 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1063 | 31% | |
| 09/21/15 | Portales !! | 0.018 | 936 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1239 | 73% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Carlsbad ? | 0.044 | 1095 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 986 | 40% | |
| 10/03/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.108 | 1201 | L 4- 7 | Expected (-2) | 969 | 29% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Artesia | 0.048 | 779 | W 9- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1284 | 86% | |
| 10/10/15 | Roswell | 0.278 | 1197 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1067 | 30% | |
| 10/15/15 | Goddard ?? | 0.415 | 996 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 967 | 64% | |
| 10/17/15 | Artesia ! | 0.069 | 779 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1372 | 89% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Roswell | 0.499 | 1197 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 986 | 24% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Goddard | 0.496 | 996 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1187 | 58% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Lovington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 973, while
Lovington's "weighted playing strength" is 1066
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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