| Overall | 12W 7L 0T |
| District | 6W 2L 0T |
| Expected | 15: 0+ 3- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
27 7 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1058 73 Strength Momentum |
801 44.7(44) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | Bloomfield | 0.000 | 729 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 934 | 91% |  |
| 08/22/15 | Lovington | 0.000 | 1057 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 998 | 53% | |
| 08/29/15 | Robertson !! | 0.000 | 872 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+8) | 1475 | 79% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Belen | 0.001 | 593 | W 5- 4 | Expected (-3) | 885 | 95% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.001 | 729 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-2) | 953 | 89% | |
| 09/05/15 | Bernalillo | 0.002 | 884 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1011 | 78% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Moriarty | 0.007 | 981 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 979 | 59% | |
| 09/15/15 | Grants | 0.007 | 588 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1066 | 95% | |
| 09/19/15 | Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.014 | 1003 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-5) | 819 | 62% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Gallup | 0.006 | 579 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1238 | 95% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Farmington | 0.015 | 1250 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-5) | 807 | 19% | |
| 09/26/15 | at St. Pius ? | 0.052 | 1071 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 924 | 44% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Miyamura | 0.100 | 696 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-1) | 986 | 90% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Durango | L 2- 5 | --- | --- | --- | | ||
| 10/08/15 | Gallup | 0.240 | 579 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-4) | 858 | 96% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.278 | 801 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 989 | 82% | |
| 10/13/15 | Farmington | 0.357 | 1250 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 1094 | 23% | |
| 10/20/15 | Miyamura | 0.128 | 696 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1277 | 92% | |
| 10/22/15 | Piedra Vista ! | 0.208 | 801 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1276 | 85% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Aztec actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 801, while
Aztec's "weighted playing strength" is 1057
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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