Strength
Strength
|
61 20 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
696 146 Strength Momentum |
902 31.9(65) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Grants | 0.000 | 588 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-1) | 651 | 63% | |
| 08/22/15 | Bloomfield | 0.000 | 729 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 552 | 47% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Lovington ? | 0.000 | 1057 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-4) | 476 | 8% | |
| 08/25/15 | Bloomfield | 0.000 | 729 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-2) | 602 | 47% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.000 | 1003 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 555 | 11% | |
| 09/09/15 | at Grants | 0.004 | 588 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 651 | 63% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Santa Fe ?? | 0.001 | 1050 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-5) | 418 | 8% | |
| 09/15/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.010 | 1003 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 739 | 13% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Belen | 0.017 | 593 | T 4- 4 | Worse (-1) | 654 | 63% | |
| 09/19/15 | at West Mesa | 0.019 | 1156 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+2) | 785 | 4% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Gallup !! | 0.029 | 579 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 848 | 65% | |
| 09/29/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.087 | 801 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 689 | 37% | |
| 10/01/15 | Aztec | 0.100 | 1058 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+1) | 767 | 10% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Farmington | 0.017 | 1250 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 463 | 2% | |
| 10/13/15 | Gallup ! | 0.263 | 579 | W 6- 2 | Expected (+3) | 829 | 70% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.405 | 801 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-1) | 658 | 32% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Aztec | 0.128 | 1058 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-4) | 476 | 8% | |
| 10/22/15 | Farmington | 0.039 | 1250 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 443 | 3% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Miyamura actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 902, while
Miyamura's "weighted playing strength" is 687
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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