10 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1250 218 Strength Momentum |
1027 59.5(9) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/28/15 | Roswell ?? | 0.000 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1164 | 63% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.000 | 1111 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1171 | 76% | |
08/29/15 | at Clovis | 0.000 | 1189 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1179 | 57% | |
09/05/15 | at Bosque | 0.002 | 1309 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1389 | 36% | |
09/10/15 | Mayfield | 0.005 | 854 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1143 | 94% | |
09/11/15 | at Capital | 0.006 | 961 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1165 | 87% | |
09/12/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.006 | 1495 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1232 | 13% | |
09/15/15 | Bloomfield | 0.004 | 729 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1336 | 98% | |
09/18/15 | at St. Pius | 0.020 | 1071 | T 3- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1170 | 76% | |
09/22/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.031 | 801 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1135 | 95% | |
09/24/15 | Aztec !! | 0.015 | 1058 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1501 | 81% | |
09/29/15 | Gallup | 0.008 | 579 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1424 | 99% | |
10/01/15 | Capital | 0.115 | 961 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1146 | 90% | |
10/06/15 | Miyamura | 0.017 | 696 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1483 | 98% | |
10/08/15 | Piedra Vista ! | 0.021 | 801 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1536 | 96% | |
10/13/15 | at Aztec | 0.357 | 1058 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1214 | 77% | |
10/15/15 | Gallup | 0.037 | 579 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1424 | 99% | |
10/17/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.466 | 1495 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1282 | 13% | |
10/22/15 | at Miyamura | 0.039 | 696 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1502 | 97% | |
10/23/15 | Hope Christian | 0.654 | 1088 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1259 | 78% | |
11/05/15 | * Goddard | 0.737 | 996 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1283 | 86% | |
11/06/15 | * Albuquerque Academy | 0.830 | 1495 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1232 | 15% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Farmington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1027, while
Farmington's "weighted playing strength" is 1259
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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