2015 Season results for Farmington (BV,1-5A)

10   3   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1250     218
Strength     Momentum
1027   59.5(9)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  15W   5L   2T 
District  8W   0L   0T 
Expected  17:   1+   4- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/28/15 Roswell ?? 0.0001197L 1- 2 Worse (-2)1164 63%
08/28/15 Santa Fe Prep 0.0001111T 1- 1 Worse (-2)1171 76%
08/29/15 at Clovis 0.0001189L 1- 2 Worse (-1)1179 57%
09/05/15 at Bosque 0.0021309W 2- 0 Better (+3)1389 36%
09/10/15 Mayfield 0.005854W 2- 0 Expected (-2)1143 94%
09/11/15 at Capital 0.006961W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1165 87%
09/12/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.0061495L 0- 3 Expected (0)1232 13%
09/15/15 Bloomfield 0.004729W 7- 0 Expected (+2)1336 98%
09/18/15 at St. Pius 0.0201071T 3- 3 Worse (-2)1170 76%
09/22/15 at Piedra Vista 0.031801W 3- 1 Expected (-2)1135 95%
09/24/15 Aztec !! 0.0151058W 7- 0 Expected (+5)1501 81%
09/29/15 Gallup 0.008579W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1424 99%
10/01/15 Capital 0.115961W 1- 0 Expected (-2)1146 90%
10/06/15 Miyamura 0.017696W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1483 98%
10/08/15 Piedra Vista ! 0.021801W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1536 96%
10/13/15 at Aztec 0.3571058W 4- 3 Expected (-1)1214 77%
10/15/15 Gallup 0.037579W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1424 99%
10/17/15 at Albuquerque Academy 0.4661495L 0- 2 Expected (+1)1282 13%
10/22/15 at Miyamura 0.039696W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1502 97%
10/23/15 Hope Christian 0.6541088W 2- 0 Expected (0)1259 78%
11/05/15 * Goddard 0.737996W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1283 86%
11/06/15 * Albuquerque Academy 0.8301495L 0- 3 Expected (0)1232 15%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Farmington actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1027, while
Farmington's "weighted playing strength" is 1259
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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