35 9 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
996 -12 Strength Momentum |
1052 50.1(36) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.000 | 950 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1133 | 55% | |
08/28/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 801 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 989 | 81% | |
08/29/15 | Roswell | 0.000 | 1197 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-3) | 834 | 22% | |
08/29/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.000 | 1300 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1108 | 9% | |
09/01/15 | Clovis | 0.001 | 1189 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1033 | 23% | |
09/04/15 | Ruidoso ? | 0.001 | 950 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 863 | 62% | |
09/05/15 | Hatch ! | 0.001 | 1052 | W 6- 1 | Better (+5) | 1267 | 44% | |
09/05/15 | at Carlsbad | 0.002 | 1095 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1005 | 30% | |
09/10/15 | Gadsden | 0.005 | 1013 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 945 | 50% | |
09/15/15 | at Carlsbad !! | 0.009 | 1095 | W 3- 0 | Better (+4) | 1206 | 30% | |
09/19/15 | at Robertson | 0.005 | 872 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1300 | 67% | |
10/01/15 | Portales | 0.082 | 936 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1158 | 64% | |
10/06/15 | at Roswell | 0.199 | 1197 | T 3- 3 | Better (+2) | 1106 | 17% | |
10/10/15 | at Artesia | 0.100 | 779 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1201 | 80% | |
10/13/15 | NMMI ?? | 0.357 | 909 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 893 | 68% | |
10/15/15 | at Lovington | 0.415 | 1057 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1086 | 36% | |
10/17/15 | Roswell | 0.476 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1037 | 22% | |
10/20/15 | Artesia | 0.560 | 779 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 978 | 84% | |
10/22/15 | Lovington | 0.496 | 1057 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-3) | 866 | 42% | |
10/30/15 | at Centennial | 0.861 | 961 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1038 | 53% | |
11/05/15 | * Farmington | 0.737 | 1250 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 963 | 14% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Goddard actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1052, while
Goddard's "weighted playing strength" is 1000
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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