| Overall | 15W 7L 1T |
| District | 2W 1L 1T |
| Expected | 16: 3+ 4- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
27 6 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1052 335 Strength Momentum |
909 54.5(24) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Santa Fe !! | 0.000 | 1050 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1111 | 47% |  |
| 08/22/15 | at East Mountain | 0.000 | 890 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1031 | 73% | |
| 08/22/15 | at Taos | 0.000 | 1104 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 836 | 37% | |
| 08/25/15 | NMMI | 0.000 | 909 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1223 | 76% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Chaparral ? | 0.000 | 972 | L 1- 7 | Worse (-7) | 718 | 61% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Roswell | 0.000 | 1197 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-5) | 778 | 24% | |
| 09/05/15 | NMMI ?? | 0.001 | 909 | L 0- 5 | Worse (-7) | 719 | 76% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Goddard | 0.001 | 996 | L 1- 6 | Worse (-5) | 782 | 56% | |
| 09/15/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.010 | 844 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1089 | 83% | |
| 09/17/15 | East Mountain | 0.016 | 890 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1062 | 78% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.017 | 654 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1013 | 93% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Ruidoso | 0.034 | 950 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1061 | 64% | |
| 09/29/15 | at East Mountain | 0.068 | 890 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1131 | 73% | |
| 10/01/15 | Desert Academy | 0.082 | 654 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 1045 | 94% | |
| 10/06/15 | at NMMI | 0.148 | 909 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1141 | 70% | |
| 10/08/15 | Ruidoso ! | 0.052 | 950 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1402 | 70% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Socorro | 0.373 | 1040 | T 3- 3 | Better (0) | 1056 | 49% | |
| 10/15/15 | Silver | 0.187 | 870 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1255 | 80% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Silver | 0.572 | 870 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1021 | 75% | |
| 10/22/15 | Socorro | 0.577 | 1040 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 937 | 56% | |
| 10/30/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.752 | 844 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1089 | 83% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Socorro | 0.946 | 1040 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1106 | 52% | |
| 11/06/15 | * Taos | 0.951 | 1104 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1019 | 41% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hatch actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 909, while
Hatch's "weighted playing strength" is 1060
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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