2015 Season results for Taos (BV,5-4A)

21   3   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1104     -36
Strength     Momentum
977   56.6(19)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  15W   3L   2T 
District  6W   0L   0T 
Expected  16:   3+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/21/15 Santa Fe 0.0001050W 8- 3 Expected (+4)1320 62%
08/22/15 Hatch 0.0001052W 5- 0 Expected (+4)1321 63%
08/22/15 Monte del Sol 0.000844W 8- 0 Expected (+5)1375 87%
08/31/15 at St. Michael's !! 0.000904W 9- 1 Expected (+6)1424 78%
09/02/15 St. Pius ?? 0.0011071L 1- 3 Worse (-3) 978 59%
09/08/15 Santa Fe Prep 0.0031111W 5- 2 Expected (+3)1248 52%
09/12/15 at Monte del Sol 0.005844W 3- 0 Expected (+1)1134 84%
09/22/15 at Hope Christian ? 0.0361088L 3- 4 Expected (-1)1056 49%
09/26/15 at Los Alamos 0.0541300W 3- 1 Better (+4)1312 18%
09/28/15 Bernalillo ! 0.007884W 12- 2 Expected (+8)1504 84%
10/01/15 Bosque 0.1161309T 2- 2 Better (+2)1197 21%
10/03/15 at Questa 0.008459W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1311 98%
10/05/15 at Pojoaque 0.010848W 11- 1 Expected (+8)1506 84%
10/08/15 Robertson 0.226872W 2- 0 Expected (-1)1078 84%
10/13/15 Questa 0.032459W 10- 0 Expected (+3)1292 99%
10/17/15 at Robertson 0.171872W 6- 0 Expected (+4)1302 81%
10/19/15 Pojoaque 0.048848W 11- 1 Expected (+7)1486 87%
11/05/15 * Santa Fe Prep 0.9901111T 0- 0 Better (0)1117 49%
11/06/15 * Hatch 0.9511052W 2- 1 Expected (+1)1138 59%
11/07/15 * Bosque 0.8311309L 0- 3 Expected (-1)1066 19%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Taos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 977, while
Taos's "weighted playing strength" is 1131
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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