21 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1104 -36 Strength Momentum |
977 56.6(19) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Santa Fe | 0.000 | 1050 | W 8- 3 | Expected (+4) | 1320 | 62% | |
08/22/15 | Hatch | 0.000 | 1052 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1321 | 63% | |
08/22/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.000 | 844 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1375 | 87% | |
08/31/15 | at St. Michael's !! | 0.000 | 904 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1424 | 78% | |
09/02/15 | St. Pius ?? | 0.001 | 1071 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 978 | 59% | |
09/08/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.003 | 1111 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+3) | 1248 | 52% | |
09/12/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.005 | 844 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1134 | 84% | |
09/22/15 | at Hope Christian ? | 0.036 | 1088 | L 3- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1056 | 49% | |
09/26/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.054 | 1300 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 1312 | 18% | |
09/28/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.007 | 884 | W 12- 2 | Expected (+8) | 1504 | 84% | |
10/01/15 | Bosque | 0.116 | 1309 | T 2- 2 | Better (+2) | 1197 | 21% | |
10/03/15 | at Questa | 0.008 | 459 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1311 | 98% | |
10/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.010 | 848 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+8) | 1506 | 84% | |
10/08/15 | Robertson | 0.226 | 872 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1078 | 84% | |
10/13/15 | Questa | 0.032 | 459 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1292 | 99% | |
10/17/15 | at Robertson | 0.171 | 872 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1302 | 81% | |
10/19/15 | Pojoaque | 0.048 | 848 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+7) | 1486 | 87% | |
11/05/15 | * Santa Fe Prep | 0.990 | 1111 | T 0- 0 | Better (0) | 1117 | 49% | |
11/06/15 | * Hatch | 0.951 | 1052 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1138 | 59% | |
11/07/15 | * Bosque | 0.831 | 1309 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1066 | 19% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Taos actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 977, while
Taos's "weighted playing strength" is 1131
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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