5 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1309 115 Strength Momentum |
1096 65.1(2) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 801 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1585 | 96% | |
08/25/15 | Los Alamos | 0.000 | 1300 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1295 | 55% | |
08/28/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.000 | 1111 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-2) | 1200 | 82% | |
08/29/15 | at Roswell | 0.000 | 1197 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1313 | 66% | |
08/29/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.000 | 1300 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1264 | 48% | |
09/05/15 | Farmington ? | 0.002 | 1250 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1170 | 64% | |
09/08/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.001 | 1003 | W 9- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1556 | 91% | |
09/10/15 | at Los Lunas ?? | 0.005 | 931 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-6) | 1029 | 92% | |
09/12/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.007 | 729 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-5) | 1079 | 98% | |
09/15/15 | Sandia Prep ! | 0.009 | 1201 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1446 | 71% | |
09/19/15 | Hope Christian | 0.023 | 1088 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1239 | 84% | |
09/22/15 | St. Michael's | 0.008 | 904 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1507 | 95% | |
09/24/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.035 | 844 | W 4- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1237 | 95% | |
09/29/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.076 | 1111 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1351 | 82% | |
10/01/15 | at Taos | 0.116 | 1104 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1216 | 79% | |
10/07/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.164 | 1003 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 1316 | 88% | |
10/13/15 | at Sandia Prep !! | 0.226 | 1201 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1466 | 66% | |
10/16/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.282 | 1088 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1409 | 81% | |
10/20/15 | Bloomfield | 0.128 | 729 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1419 | 99% | |
11/05/15 | * Rehoboth Christian | 0.925 | 1003 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1247 | 89% | |
11/06/15 | * Sandia Prep | 0.988 | 1201 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1295 | 69% | |
11/07/15 | * Taos | 0.831 | 1104 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1347 | 81% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bosque actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1096, while
Bosque's "weighted playing strength" is 1316
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page