Strength
Strength
|
49 16 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
884 -89 Strength Momentum |
961 43.2(49) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/15 | at Aztec | 0.002 | 1058 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 931 | 22% | |
| 09/12/15 | Grants | 0.004 | 588 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+2) | 979 | 88% | |
| 09/16/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.010 | 1111 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 806 | 16% | |
| 09/17/15 | Gallup | 0.005 | 579 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1078 | 89% | |
| 09/23/15 | Del Norte | 0.041 | 798 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-1) | 831 | 68% | |
| 09/24/15 | Pojoaque ! | 0.040 | 848 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1007 | 60% | |
| 09/26/15 | Capital | 0.029 | 961 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-4) | 661 | 40% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Taos | 0.007 | 1104 | L 2-12 | Expected (-8) | 484 | 16% | |
| 10/01/15 | Moriarty | 0.115 | 981 | W 6- 5 | Better (+2) | 973 | 37% | |
| 10/03/15 | Los Alamos | 0.050 | 1300 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 778 | 6% | |
| 10/06/15 | at East Mountain !! | 0.173 | 890 | W 2- 0 | Better (+2) | 997 | 46% | |
| 10/08/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.231 | 844 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 805 | 60% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Del Norte | 0.136 | 798 | W 7- 2 | Expected (+4) | 1103 | 62% | |
| 10/13/15 | at Capital ?? | 0.116 | 961 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-6) | 576 | 34% | |
| 10/15/15 | Desert Academy | 0.306 | 654 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+2) | 961 | 85% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Santa Fe ? | 0.155 | 1050 | L 3-10 | Expected (-5) | 620 | 22% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.054 | 1300 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 582 | 5% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Bernalillo actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 961, while
Bernalillo's "weighted playing strength" is 857
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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